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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2008 Sep 30 2121 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
22 - 28 September 2008

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk was spotless during most of the period. However, Region 1002 (N25, L = 076, class/area Dso/030 on 22 September), a new
cycle-polarity spot group; emerged on 22 September, then decayed to
plage on 24 September.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels during the period.

Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels during the period. ACE solar wind measurements indicated minor changes during the period. Velocities ranged from 245 - 395 km/sec during the period. IMF Bt ranged from 01 - 07 nT and Bz ranged from -07 nT to
+07 nT during the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
01 - 27 October 2008


Solar activity is expected to be very low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels during 02 - 14 October.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at active to minor storm levels on 01 October due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). Activity is expected to decrease to unsettled levels during 02 - 05 October as the CH HSS subsides. Quiet conditions are expected during 06 - 11 October. Activity is expected to increase to active levels on 12 October due to a recurrent CH HSS. Activity is expected to decrease to unsettled levels on 13 October as the CH HSS subsides. Quiet conditions are expected during 14 - 27 October.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2008 Sep 30 2122 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html

# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2008 Sep 30
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2008 Oct 01 67 25 5
2008 Oct 02 67 10 3
2008 Oct 03 67 8 3
2008 Oct 04 67 8 3
2008 Oct 05 67 8 3
2008 Oct 06 67 5 2
2008 Oct 07 67 5 2
2008 Oct 08 67 5 2
2008 Oct 09 67 5 2
2008 Oct 10 67 5 2
2008 Oct 11 67 5 2
2008 Oct 12 67 15 4
2008 Oct 13 67 8 3
2008 Oct 14 67 5 2
2008 Oct 15 67 7 2
2008 Oct 16 67 5 2
2008 Oct 17 67 5 2
2008 Oct 18 67 5 2
2008 Oct 19 67 5 2
2008 Oct 20 67 5 2
2008 Oct 21 67 5 2
2008 Oct 22 67 5 2
2008 Oct 23 67 5 2
2008 Oct 24 67 5 2
2008 Oct 25 67 5 2
2008 Oct 26 67 5 2
2008 Oct 27 67 5 2
(NOAA)