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Friday, January 16, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Jan 13 1951 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html


# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
05 - 11 January 2009

Solar activity was very low. New-cycle polarity Region 1010 (N19, L=021, class/area Bxo/050 on 11 January) emerged on 09 January. It produced isolated low-level B-class flares on 10 January, then gradually decayed during the rest of the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels throughout the period.

Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels during the period. ACE solar wind measurements indicated no significant changes during the period. Solar wind velocities ranged from 275 to 453 km/sec. IMF Bz was variable in the -06 to +08 nT range while Bt ranged from 01 to 08 nT during the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
14 January - 09 February 2009

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal levels throughout the period.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels through 18 January. Field activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active periods possible at high
latitudes during 19 January due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 20 - 26 January. Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active levels possible at high latitudes during 27 - 30 January due to another recurrent CH HSS. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 31 January - 09 February.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jan 13 1952 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#

# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Jan 13
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Jan 14 70 5 2
2009 Jan 15 70 5 2
2009 Jan 16 70 5 2
2009 Jan 17 70 5 2
2009 Jan 18 70 5 2
2009 Jan 19 70 8 3
2009 Jan 20 70 5 2
2009 Jan 21 70 5 2
2009 Jan 22 70 5 2
2009 Jan 23 70 5 2
2009 Jan 24 70 5 2
2009 Jan 25 70 5 2
2009 Jan 26 70 5 2
2009 Jan 27 70 10 3
2009 Jan 28 70 8 3
2009 Jan 29 70 5 2
2009 Jan 30 70 8 3
2009 Jan 31 70 5 2
2009 Feb 01 70 5 2
2009 Feb 02 70 5 2
2009 Feb 03 70 5 2
2009 Feb 04 70 5 2
2009 Feb 05 70 5 2
2009 Feb 06 70 5 2
2009 Feb 07 70 5 2
2009 Feb 08 70 5 2
2009 Feb 09 70 5 2
(NOAA)