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Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Jun 02 2021 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#

# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
25 - 31 May 2009


Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. New cycle polarity Region 1019 (N28, L=297, class/area Cro/080 on 02 June) was numbered on 31 May. It was simply structured and produced no flares during the summary period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels during the period.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels at all latitudes during most of the period. However, activity increased to unsettled levels on 28 May with a brief period of active levels at high latitudes. The increase followed a sudden impulse at 28/0520 UTC (33 nT, as observed by the Boulder USGS magnetometer). ACE solar wind measurements indicated an interplanetary shock passage at approximately 28/0418 UTC. There was no obvious source for the shock. Solar wind changes associated with the shock passage included a jump in velocity (284 - 338 km/sec at 28/0418 UTC), increased interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bt (peak 12 nT at 28/0722 UTC), and intermittent periods of southward IMF Bz (minimum -8 nT at 28/0857 UTC).

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
03 - 29 June 2009

Solar activity is expected to be very low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal flux levels.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during 03 - 04 June. Mostly quiet conditions are expected during 05 - 28 June, with unsettled periods possible on 10 June. Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels on 29 June.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jun 02 2021 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#


# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Jun 02
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Jun 03 72 8 3
2009 Jun 04 72 8 3
2009 Jun 05 72 5 2
2009 Jun 06 72 5 2
2009 Jun 07 72 5 2
2009 Jun 08 74 5 2
2009 Jun 09 74 5 2
2009 Jun 10 74 8 3
2009 Jun 11 74 5 2
2009 Jun 12 74 5 2
2009 Jun 13 74 5 2
2009 Jun 14 72 5 2
2009 Jun 15 72 5 2
2009 Jun 16 72 5 2
2009 Jun 17 72 5 2
2009 Jun 18 72 5 2
2009 Jun 19 70 5 2
2009 Jun 20 70 5 2
2009 Jun 21 70 5 2
2009 Jun 22 70 5 2
2009 Jun 23 70 5 2
2009 Jun 24 70 5 2
2009 Jun 25 70 5 2
2009 Jun 26 72 5 2
2009 Jun 27 72 5 2
2009 Jun 28 72 5 2
2009 Jun 29 72 10 3
(NOAA)