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Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2010 May 18 1721 UTC
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
10 - 16 May 2010



Solar activity was very low. A few low-level B-class events were observed early in the week. The solar disk was void of sunspots throughout the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.

The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet throughout the period, with the exception of some isolated unsettled periods and a single isolated active period at high latitudes on 11-12 May.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
19 May - 14 June 2010

Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal background levels for most of the period. However, increases to high levels are possible on 31 May - 06 June and 11-12 June in response to recurrent high speed streams.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet for 19 May, and is expected to increase to mostly unsettled levels for 20-22 May in response to a favorably positioned coronal hole. Quiet levels are expected for 23-28 May. An increase to active levels is expected for 29-30 May in response to a recurrent high speed stream. Activity should decline to mostly unsettled levels for 31 May. Quiet levels are expected to predominate from 01-10 June. Quiet to unsettled
levels are possible on 08-09 June in response to another recurrent high speed stream, and quiet levels should return from 10-14 June.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2010 May 18 1721 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html

# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2010 May 18
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2010 May 19 72 6 2
2010 May 20 72 13 3
2010 May 21 74 13 3
2010 May 22 76 10 3
2010 May 23 78 5 2
2010 May 24 80 5 2
2010 May 25 80 5 2
2010 May 26 80 5 2
2010 May 27 80 5 2
2010 May 28 80 5 2
2010 May 29 80 25 5
2010 May 30 80 20 4
2010 May 31 80 10 3
2010 Jun 01 80 5 2
2010 Jun 02 80 5 2
2010 Jun 03 80 5 2
2010 Jun 04 80 5 2
2010 Jun 05 78 5 2
2010 Jun 06 76 5 2
2010 Jun 07 75 5 2
2010 Jun 08 70 5 2
2010 Jun 09 70 5 2
2010 Jun 10 70 5 2
2010 Jun 11 70 5 2
2010 Jun 12 70 5 2
2010 Jun 13 70 5 2
2010 Jun 14 70 5 2
(NOAA)