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Tuesday, July 05, 2016

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jul 04 0322 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 27 June - 03 July 2016

Solar activity was very low. The disk was spotless for the entire period with no measurable flare activity. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels from 27-30 Jun and dropped to normal to moderate levels for the remainder of the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to unsettled on 27-28 Jun due to diminishing negative polarity CH HSS effects. Mostly quiet  conditions were observed on 29 Jun. Quiet to unsettled conditions were observed for the remainder of the week with an isolated active period on 02/2100-2400 UTC due to effects from a series of coronal holes. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 04 July - 30 July 2016

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the forecast period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 04-07, 16-19, and 22-26 Jul following recurrent CH HSS events. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels early on 04 Jul followed by quiet conditions through 07 Jul.  quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to return from 08-15 Jul with active periods likely on 11-12 Jul due to effects from a series of recurrent coronal holes. Quiet conditions are expected to return from 16-18 Jul. Another recurrent CH HSS is expected to cause quiet to unsettled conditions from 19-23 Jul with isolated active periods
likely on 19 Jul. Mostly quiet levels are expected for the remainder of the period with unsettled periods possible on 28 and 30 Jul due to recurrent coronal holes. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Jul 04 0322 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2016-07-04
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2016 Jul 04      74          10          3
2016 Jul 05      74           5          2
2016 Jul 06      74           5          2
2016 Jul 07      74           5          2
2016 Jul 08      74          12          3
2016 Jul 09      74          10          3
2016 Jul 10      74           8          3
2016 Jul 11      74          18          4
2016 Jul 12      74          12          4
2016 Jul 13      74           8          3
2016 Jul 14      74          10          3
2016 Jul 15      74           8          3
2016 Jul 16      74           5          2
2016 Jul 17      72           5          2
2016 Jul 18      72           5          2
2016 Jul 19      72          15          4
2016 Jul 20      72          12          3
2016 Jul 21      72          10          3
2016 Jul 22      72           8          3
2016 Jul 23      72          10          3
2016 Jul 24      72           5          2
2016 Jul 25      72           5          2
2016 Jul 26      72           5          2
2016 Jul 27      72           5          2
2016 Jul 28      72           8          3
2016 Jul 29      72           5          2
2016 Jul 30      72          10          3
(NOAA)