Pages

Monday, July 08, 2019

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 Jul 08 0205 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 - 07 July 2019

Solar activity was at very low levels throughout the reporting period. Region 2744 (S27, Lo=207 class/area=Bxo/20 on 07 Jul) only produced several low-level B-class events and appears to have an reverse polarity magnetic configuration.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal background levels.

Geomagnetic field activity transitioned from unsettled early on 01 Jul to quiet for the remainder of  the reporting period. A weak enhancement in the solar wind on 01 Jul was obscured by the intermittent mag data from L1.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 July - 03 August 2019

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach moderate levels from 11-14 Jul due to influence from a positive polarity CH HSS. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at normal background levels.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active. Active levels are expected from 09-11 Jul in response to influence from an anticipated positive polarity CH HSS. Unsettled levels are likely on 28 Jul due to a SSBC. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet levels under a nominal solar wind regime.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 Jul 08 0205 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact  www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2019-07-08
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2019 Jul 08      67           5          2
2019 Jul 09      67          12          4
2019 Jul 10      67          15          4
2019 Jul 11      67          12          4
2019 Jul 12      67           5          2
2019 Jul 13      67           5          2
2019 Jul 14      67           5          2
2019 Jul 15      67           5          2
2019 Jul 16      67           5          2
2019 Jul 17      67           5          2
2019 Jul 18      67           5          2
2019 Jul 19      67           5          2
2019 Jul 20      67           5          2
2019 Jul 21      67           5          2
2019 Jul 22      67           5          2
2019 Jul 23      67           5          2
2019 Jul 24      67           5          2
2019 Jul 25      67           5          2
2019 Jul 26      67           5          2
2019 Jul 27      67           5          2
2019 Jul 28      67           8          3
2019 Jul 29      67           5          2
2019 Jul 30      67           5          2
2019 Jul 31      67           5          2
2019 Aug 01      67           5          2
2019 Aug 02      67           5          2
2019 Aug 03      67           5          2
(NOAA)