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Tuesday, October 01, 2019

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 Sep 30 0233 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 - 29 September 2019

Solar activity was very low throughout the summary period and no active regions with sunspots were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached very high levels on 29 Sep with high levels observed on 28 Sep. Normal and normal to moderate flux values were observed throughout the remainder of the week.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 27-28 Sep due to the influence of a recurrent, positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). The active conditions were observed on 24 and 29 Sep and quiet or quiet to unsettled conditions were observed throughout the remainder of the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 30 September - 26 October 2019

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 30 Sep-12, 14, and 25-26 Oct. Normal and normal to moderate levels are expected for the remainder of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 24-25 Oct and active levels on 06, 21, and 26 Oct due to coronal hole high speed stream influences.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 Sep 30 0233 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2019-09-30
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2019 Sep 30      68          10          3
2019 Oct 01      68           8          3
2019 Oct 02      68           8          3
2019 Oct 03      68          12          4
2019 Oct 04      68           8          3
2019 Oct 05      68           8          3
2019 Oct 06      68          12          4
2019 Oct 07      68           5          2
2019 Oct 08      68           5          2
2019 Oct 09      68           5          2
2019 Oct 10      68           8          3
2019 Oct 11      68           5          2
2019 Oct 12      68           8          3
2019 Oct 13      68          10          3
2019 Oct 14      68           8          3
2019 Oct 15      68           8          3
2019 Oct 16      68           5          2
2019 Oct 17      68           5          2
2019 Oct 18      68           5          2
2019 Oct 19      68           5          2
2019 Oct 20      68           5          2
2019 Oct 21      68          12          4
2019 Oct 22      68           5          2
2019 Oct 23      68           5          2
2019 Oct 24      68          18          5
2019 Oct 25      68          25          5
2019 Oct 26      68          12          4
(NOAA)