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Monday, February 17, 2020

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 Feb 17 0312 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 10 - 16 February 2020

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. No active regions with sunspots were observed and no earth-directed CMEs were detected.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 10-11 Feb and reached moderate levels on 12-16 Feb.

Geomagnetic field activity was generally quiet with isolated periods of unsettled activity.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 17 February - 14 March 2020

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 05-09 Mar with normal to moderate levels expected for the remainder of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 04 Mar with active levels expected on 26 Feb and 05 Mar due to multiple, recurrent CH HSSs. Generally quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail for the
remainder of the outlook period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 Feb 17 0312 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2020-02-17
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2020 Feb 17      71          10          3
2020 Feb 18      71           8          3
2020 Feb 19      71          10          3
2020 Feb 20      71           8          3
2020 Feb 21      71           5          2
2020 Feb 22      71          10          3
2020 Feb 23      71           8          3
2020 Feb 24      71           5          2
2020 Feb 25      71           8          3
2020 Feb 26      71          12          4
2020 Feb 27      71          10          3
2020 Feb 28      71           5          2
2020 Feb 29      71           5          2
2020 Mar 01      71           5          2
2020 Mar 02      71           5          2
2020 Mar 03      71           5          2
2020 Mar 04      71          20          5
2020 Mar 05      71          15          4
2020 Mar 06      71           8          3
2020 Mar 07      71           5          2
2020 Mar 08      71           5          2
2020 Mar 09      71           5          2
2020 Mar 10      71           5          2
2020 Mar 11      71           5          2
2020 Mar 12      71           5          2
2020 Mar 13      71           5          2
2020 Mar 14      71           5          2
(NOAA)