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Monday, February 06, 2023

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2023 Feb 06 0112 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 30 January - 05 February 2023

Solar activity was low. The largest event of the period was a C6.6 flare at 05/0326 UTC from an unnumbered region from around the east limb. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed throughout the period. 

No proton events were observed in geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels throughout the reporting period. 

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. Active conditions were observed on 02 Feb, unsettled levels were observed on 30-31 Jan and 01, 03-04 Feb due to CH HSS influence. Quiet conditions prevailed on 05 Feb. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 February - 04 March 2023

Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for M-class flare activity (R1-R2) throughout the outlook period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels for the duration of the outlook period. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels. Active conditions are likely on 07-08 Feb. 


Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2023 Feb 06 0112 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2023-02-06
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2023 Feb 06     150          10          3
2023 Feb 07     160          15          4
2023 Feb 08     155          15          4
2023 Feb 09     155          12          3
2023 Feb 10     160           8          3
2023 Feb 11     155           5          2
2023 Feb 12     155           5          2
2023 Feb 13     155           5          2
2023 Feb 14     150           5          2
2023 Feb 15     150           5          2
2023 Feb 16     150           5          2
2023 Feb 17     150           5          2
2023 Feb 18     150           8          3
2023 Feb 19     145           8          3
2023 Feb 20     140           5          2
2023 Feb 21     135           5          2
2023 Feb 22     130          10          3
2023 Feb 23     135          10          3
2023 Feb 24     130          10          3
2023 Feb 25     130           5          2
2023 Feb 26     130           5          2
2023 Feb 27     125           8          3
2023 Feb 28     130           5          2
2023 Mar 01     130           5          2
2023 Mar 02     130           8          3
2023 Mar 03     130           5          2
2023 Mar 04     135           5          2
(NOAA 06 Feb 2023)