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Monday, July 08, 2024

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2024 Jul 08 0107 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 - 07 July 2024


Solar activity was at moderate levels for the last week. There were multiple low-level M-class flares. None of which resulted in any Earthbound CMEs or energetic particle events. The regions on the disk were mostly unremarkable. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels for the first time since 23 Dec 2023. A peak flux of 119 pfu was reached on 03 Jul. Normal to moderate levels were reached on the rest of the summary days. 

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 July - 03 August 2024

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels throughout the period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at low to moderate levels. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 08, 11 and 14 Jul due to recurrent CH HSS influences. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on the remaining days, pending
CME activity. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2024 Jul 08 0107 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2024-07-08
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2024 Jul 08     165          12          4
2024 Jul 09     165          10          3
2024 Jul 10     165           5          2
2024 Jul 11     160          12          4
2024 Jul 12     160           8          3
2024 Jul 13     175           5          2
2024 Jul 14     180          12          4
2024 Jul 15     180          10          3
2024 Jul 16     180           8          3
2024 Jul 17     180           5          2
2024 Jul 18     195           5          2
2024 Jul 19     195           5          2
2024 Jul 20     195          10          3
2024 Jul 21     200           8          3
2024 Jul 22     200           5          2
2024 Jul 23     200           5          2
2024 Jul 24     200           5          2
2024 Jul 25     200           5          2
2024 Jul 26     190           5          2
2024 Jul 27     180           5          2
2024 Jul 28     180           5          2
2024 Jul 29     180           5          2
2024 Jul 30     175           5          2
2024 Jul 31     170           5          2
2024 Aug 01     170           5          2
2024 Aug 02     170           5          2
2024 Aug 03     165           5          2
(NOAA)