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Wednesday, December 21, 2011

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletin


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2011 Dec 20 2011 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html

Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 12 - 18 December 2011

Solar activity was at very low to low levels. Region 1367 (S19, L=076, class/area Cso/030 on 08 December) was the most active region and produced occasional to frequent C-class flares near and beyond the west limb during 13-15 December. Region 1376 (N20, L=306, class/area Dro/020 on 18 December) was also responsible for producing multiple C-class flares during 17-18 December. There were no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections observed during the period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels.

Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels during most of the period, with isolated periods of unsettled levels observed at high latitudes.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 21 December - 16 January 2012

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels during the period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels during the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during 21-27 December. Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels during 28-29 December and 5-6 January due to recurrent coronal hole high-speed streams. Quiet levels will prevail 30 December - 4 January and 7-16 January.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2011 Dec 20 2011 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2011-12-20
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2011 Dec 21 130 5 2
2011 Dec 22 125 5 2
2011 Dec 23 125 5 2
2011 Dec 24 120 5 2
2011 Dec 25 120 5 2
2011 Dec 26 125 5 2
2011 Dec 27 120 5 2
2011 Dec 28 120 8 3
2011 Dec 29 120 8 3
2011 Dec 30 120 5 2
2011 Dec 31 120 5 2
2012 Jan 01 120 5 2
2012 Jan 02 120 5 2
2012 Jan 03 125 5 2
2012 Jan 04 125 5 2
2012 Jan 05 128 8 3
2012 Jan 06 128 8 3
2012 Jan 07 128 5 2
2012 Jan 08 128 5 2
2012 Jan 09 130 5 2
2012 Jan 10 130 5 2
2012 Jan 11 130 5 2
2012 Jan 12 130 5 2
2012 Jan 13 130 5 2
2012 Jan 14 130 5 2
2012 Jan 15 130 5 2
2012 Jan 16 130 5 2
(NOAA)