Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
09 February - 07 March 2015
Solar activity is expected to be at predominately low to moderate levels throughout the period with only low levels of solar activity expected for 14-15 Feb. Low to moderate solar activity is expected
for the remainder of the period as Region 2280 (S07, L=283) continues its transit of the visible disk and as Region 2268 (S11, L=048) and Region 2277 (N08, L=330) return on 16 Feb and 22 Feb,
respectively. Regions 2268 and 2277 were previously credited with R1 (Minor) radio blackout event production during their previous appearance to the visible disk.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach moderate levels on 09-11, 17, 19-21, and 25 Feb a well as 01 and 05-07 Mar with high levels anticipated on 02-04 Mar
in response to coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at predominately quiet to unsettled levels throughout the outlook period with periods of active conditions expected on 15, 17, 22-23 Feb and 02 Mar with
isolated periods of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions likely on 28 Feb and 01 Mar, all due to recurrent CH HSS effects.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Feb 09 0210 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2015-02-09
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2015 Feb 09 150 10 3
2015 Feb 10 150 8 3
2015 Feb 11 150 8 3
2015 Feb 12 145 8 3
2015 Feb 13 140 8 3
2015 Feb 14 140 10 3
2015 Feb 15 145 12 4
2015 Feb 16 150 5 2
2015 Feb 17 155 12 4
2015 Feb 18 155 10 3
2015 Feb 19 150 10 3
2015 Feb 20 145 5 2
2015 Feb 21 140 5 2
2015 Feb 22 140 15 4
2015 Feb 23 145 12 4
2015 Feb 24 145 10 3
2015 Feb 25 145 10 3
2015 Feb 26 145 10 3
2015 Feb 27 150 10 3
2015 Feb 28 150 20 5
2015 Mar 01 145 20 5
2015 Mar 02 140 15 4
2015 Mar 03 140 10 3
2015 Mar 04 140 10 3
2015 Mar 05 140 5 2
2015 Mar 06 140 5 2
2015 Mar 07 140 8 3
(NOAA)