Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2015 Dec 14 0121 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 07 - 13 December 2015
Solar activity was at low levels and only C-class flare activity was observed throughout the period, the largest of which was a C7 flare at 12/1346 UTC from Region 2470 (N13, L=087, class/area=Dkc/270 on 13 Dec). No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed this period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels every day of the summary period with a peak flux of 10,700 pfu observed at 09/1455 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to active levels on 07-08 Dec due to waning coronal hole high speed stream effects prior to the summary period. Unsettled to active field conditions were observed
on 10-11 Dec, with an isolated period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels observed between 10/0300-0600 UTC, due to the influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 14 December - 09 January 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels throughout the outlook period with only C-class flare activity expected.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 14-20, 29-31 Dec and 03-09 Jan. Low to moderate electron flux levels are expected throughout the
remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 16 Dec and 06 Jan due to the influence of recurrent coronal hole high speed streams. Active field conditions are likely
on 15, 17-18, 27-28 Dec and 01, 03-04, 07-08 Dec due to coronal hole high speed stream effects. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for the remainder of the period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Dec 14 0121 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2015-12-14
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2015 Dec 14 125 8 3
2015 Dec 15 130 18 4
2015 Dec 16 130 25 5
2015 Dec 17 130 18 4
2015 Dec 18 125 12 4
2015 Dec 19 125 8 3
2015 Dec 20 125 5 2
2015 Dec 21 120 5 2
2015 Dec 22 115 5 2
2015 Dec 23 115 5 2
2015 Dec 24 115 5 2
2015 Dec 25 110 5 2
2015 Dec 26 105 5 2
2015 Dec 27 98 18 4
2015 Dec 28 95 15 4
2015 Dec 29 95 10 3
2015 Dec 30 98 5 2
2015 Dec 31 98 5 2
2016 Jan 01 100 15 4
2016 Jan 02 100 20 5
2016 Jan 03 105 18 4
2016 Jan 04 110 10 4
2016 Jan 05 110 8 3
2016 Jan 06 110 20 5
2016 Jan 07 115 18 4
2016 Jan 08 115 12 4
2016 Jan 09 115 10 3
(NOAA)