Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Mar 14 0430 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 07 - 13 March 2016
Solar activity reached low levels on 08-09 and 12 March. The largest event of the period was a C3 flare from Region 2519 (N05, L=007, class/area=Cso/80 on 13 Mar) at 09/1250 UTC. Very low levels of solar activity were observed throughout the remainder of the period. No coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed in coronagraph imagery were determined to be Earth-directed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels on 07-11 Mar and decreased to moderate levels on 12-13 Mar.
Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels early on 07 Mar due to the influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Activity levels subsided to quiet to unsettled levels on 08 Mar and quiet levels by 09 Mar. Quiet to unsettled conditions were observed on 10 Mar and continued into early on 11 Mar when the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) ahead of a positive polarity CH HSS caused G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm conditions. As the CH HSS progressed, conditions tapered down to active levels early on 12 Mar and into quiet to unsettled for the remainder of the day. Activity continued to subside with only quiet conditions observed on 13 Mar.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 14 March - 09 April 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a chance for C-class flares throughout the forecast period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 16-21 Mar and 04-06 Apr. Moderate levels are expected on 22 Mar-03 Apr and 07-09 Apr. Normal levels are expected on 14-15 Mar.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm levels on 15-16 Mar and 02-03 Apr due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS. Active conditions are expected on 17 Mar and 08 Apr. Unsettled conditions are expected 18 Mar and 01, 04, 07, 08 Apr. Quiet conditions are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period under a nominal solar wind regime.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Mar 14 0431 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2016-03-14
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Mar 14 93 5 2
2016 Mar 15 90 25 5
2016 Mar 16 90 22 5
2016 Mar 17 90 12 4
2016 Mar 18 90 8 3
2016 Mar 19 95 5 2
2016 Mar 20 95 5 2
2016 Mar 21 95 5 2
2016 Mar 22 90 5 2
2016 Mar 23 90 5 2
2016 Mar 24 95 5 2
2016 Mar 25 95 5 2
2016 Mar 26 95 5 2
2016 Mar 27 95 5 2
2016 Mar 28 95 5 2
2016 Mar 29 100 5 2
2016 Mar 30 100 5 2
2016 Mar 31 100 5 2
2016 Apr 01 95 8 3
2016 Apr 02 95 30 5
2016 Apr 03 95 25 5
2016 Apr 04 95 8 3
2016 Apr 05 95 5 2
2016 Apr 06 95 5 2
2016 Apr 07 95 8 3
2016 Apr 08 95 12 4
2016 Apr 09 95 8 3
(NOAA)