Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Nov 14 0648 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 07 - 13 November 2016
Solar activity was very low through the period with only a few low-level B-class flares observed from Regions 2605 (N07, L=191, class/area Cro/030 on 31 October), 2607 (S17, L=143, class/area
Dai/100 on 11 November), and 2610 (N15, L=022, class/area Cro/030 on 12 November). No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed in available satellite imagery during the reporting period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels on 09, and 11-12 November and high levels on 07-08, 10, and 13 November. The maximum flux of 10,253 pfu was observed at 13/1825 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels with an isolated period of G1 (Minor) storming reported during the 1/0000-0300 UTC synoptic period in response to a negative polarity
coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speed increased steadily from background levels near 300 km/s to a peak of 767 km/s towards the end of the period. Total field ranged between 3 and 16 nT while the Bz component reached a maximum southward deviation of -11 nT. The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels on 07-09 November, quiet to active levels on 10 and 12-13 November, and quiet to G1(Minor) levels on 11 November.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 14 November - 10 December 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a slight chance for C-class flares over the forecast period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels with high levels likely on 14-19, 22 November - 05 December, 07 and 10 December due to
recurrent CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 14-15, 19-29 November, and 07-10 December with G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels likely on 21-23 and 25 November, G2 (Moderate) levels likely on 21-22 November, and G3 (Strong) levels likely on 21 November due to recurrent CH HSS effects.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Nov 14 0648 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2016-11-14
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Nov 14 75 15 4
2016 Nov 15 75 10 3
2016 Nov 16 75 5 2
2016 Nov 17 75 5 2
2016 Nov 18 75 5 2
2016 Nov 19 75 10 3
2016 Nov 20 75 15 4
2016 Nov 21 75 55 7
2016 Nov 22 75 45 6
2016 Nov 23 75 25 5
2016 Nov 24 75 18 4
2016 Nov 25 78 25 5
2016 Nov 26 78 18 4
2016 Nov 27 80 12 4
2016 Nov 28 82 10 3
2016 Nov 29 82 8 3
2016 Nov 30 82 5 2
2016 Dec 01 82 5 2
2016 Dec 02 84 5 2
2016 Dec 03 82 5 2
2016 Dec 04 82 5 2
2016 Dec 05 82 5 2
2016 Dec 06 82 5 2
2016 Dec 07 82 15 4
2016 Dec 08 80 12 4
2016 Dec 09 80 18 4
2016 Dec 10 78 20 4
(NOAA)