:Issued: 2017 Jan 23 0615 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 16 - 22 January 2017
Solar activity was at low levels due to a C9/1f flare observed at 21/0726 UTC from Region 2628 (N12, L=173, class/area Dao/210 on 22 January). Region 2628 was responsible for additional C-class flaring on 21 January. The rest of the period was at very low levels. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were observed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels with high levels observed on 16-17, and 20-22 January. The largest flux value of the period was 3,090 pfu observed at 16/1935 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels over the period. Solar wind parameters were indicative of background conditions to start the period. Early on 18 January, wind speed began to increase as a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) became geoeffective. Wind speed reached a maximum value of 651 km/s at 19/0320 UTC and total field peaked at 17 nT at 18/0605 UTC before gradually decreasing throughout the remainder of the period. The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels on 16-17 January, quiet to active levels on 18-19 & 21 January, and quiet to unsettled levels on 20 & 22 January.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 January - 18 February 2017
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for M-class flares on 23-31 January and 14-18 February due to the flare potential in Region 2628. Very low levels are expected on 01-13 February.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels with high levels likely on 23-27 January, 01-13 February, and again on 16-18 February due to CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 23, 27-31 January, 01-07 February and 14-18 February with G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels likely on 03 February due to recurrent CH HSS effects.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Jan 23 0615 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2017-01-23
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2017 Jan 23 85 8 3
2017 Jan 24 83 5 2
2017 Jan 25 82 5 2
2017 Jan 26 80 5 2
2017 Jan 27 80 12 4
2017 Jan 28 80 15 4
2017 Jan 29 78 8 3
2017 Jan 30 77 10 3
2017 Jan 31 77 12 4
2017 Feb 01 76 16 4
2017 Feb 02 76 18 4
2017 Feb 03 75 20 5
2017 Feb 04 75 16 4
2017 Feb 05 75 12 4
2017 Feb 06 75 10 3
2017 Feb 07 75 8 3
2017 Feb 08 76 5 2
2017 Feb 09 77 5 2
2017 Feb 10 77 5 2
2017 Feb 11 77 5 2
2017 Feb 12 77 5 2
2017 Feb 13 78 5 2
2017 Feb 14 79 15 4
2017 Feb 15 81 10 3
2017 Feb 16 83 10 3
2017 Feb 17 83 8 3
2017 Feb 18 83 8 3
(NOAA)