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Tuesday, January 02, 2018

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jan 01 0250 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 25 - 31 December 2017
Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Region 2692 (N18, L=087, class/area=Eai/160 on 24 Dec) was the only numbered active region this period, but the region was without sunspots and
unproductive through most of the week. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed this period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 27 and 29 Dec with moderate levels observed through the remainder of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels on 26 Dec due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS. Quiet and quiet to unsettled levels were observed throughout the rest of the week.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 01 January - 27 January 2018

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 02-06, 14-19, and 23-24 Jan. Moderate flux levels are expected through the rest of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 01 and 13 Jan, with active periods likely on 02, 08, 14, 20 and 27 Jan, due to the effects of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs. Quiet and quiet to unsettled geomagnetic field activity is expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.


Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jan 01 0250 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2018-01-01
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2018 Jan 01      68          25          5
2018 Jan 02      68          15          4
2018 Jan 03      68           8          3
2018 Jan 04      68           5          2
2018 Jan 05      70           5          2
2018 Jan 06      70           5          2
2018 Jan 07      70          10          3
2018 Jan 08      70          12          4
2018 Jan 09      70           6          2
2018 Jan 10      70           5          2
2018 Jan 11      70           5          2
2018 Jan 12      70           5          2
2018 Jan 13      72          22          5
2018 Jan 14      72          16          4
2018 Jan 15      72           6          2
2018 Jan 16      72           5          2
2018 Jan 17      72           5          2
2018 Jan 18      72           5          2
2018 Jan 19      72           5          2
2018 Jan 20      72          12          4
2018 Jan 21      72          10          3
2018 Jan 22      72           8          3
2018 Jan 23      72           6          2
2018 Jan 24      72           5          2
2018 Jan 25      70           5          2
2018 Jan 26      68           5          2
2018 Jan 27      68           6          4
(NOAA)