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Monday, June 04, 2018
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletin
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jun 04 0252 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 28 May - 03 June 2018
Solar activity reached low levels during the period due to an isolated C-class event, a C2/Sf flare from Region 2712 (N15, L=176, class/area Csi/80 on 28 May). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels on 28-31 May and high levels on 01-03 June due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). The peak flux observed was 28,659 pfu at 02/1900 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) storm levels on 01 June and active levels on 31 May and 02 June due to influence from a negative polarity CH HSS. Quiet to unsettled conditions were
observed throughout the remainder of the week.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 04 June - 30 June 2018
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the period, with a slight chance for isolated C-class events on 04-05 and 18-30 June, due to flare potential from Region 2712.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach very high levels on 05-07 June with high levels expected on 04, 08-13, and 28-30 June. Moderate flux levels are
expected for the remainder of the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 28 June, with active levels on 27 and 2 June, due to influence from a recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS.
Unsettled levels are expected on 04-05, 13, 19, and 30 June. Quiet conditions are expected during the remainder of the outlook period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jun 04 0252 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-06-04
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Jun 04 73 10 3
2018 Jun 05 72 8 3
2018 Jun 06 70 5 2
2018 Jun 07 70 5 2
2018 Jun 08 70 5 2
2018 Jun 09 70 5 2
2018 Jun 10 70 5 2
2018 Jun 11 72 5 2
2018 Jun 12 72 5 2
2018 Jun 13 72 8 3
2018 Jun 14 72 5 2
2018 Jun 15 72 5 2
2018 Jun 16 72 5 2
2018 Jun 17 72 5 2
2018 Jun 18 74 5 2
2018 Jun 19 74 8 3
2018 Jun 20 74 5 2
2018 Jun 21 74 5 2
2018 Jun 22 74 5 2
2018 Jun 23 74 5 2
2018 Jun 24 72 5 2
2018 Jun 25 72 5 2
2018 Jun 26 72 5 2
2018 Jun 27 72 15 4
2018 Jun 28 72 28 5
2018 Jun 29 72 18 4
2018 Jun 30 72 10 3
(NOAA)