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Monday, July 23, 2018

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins




Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jul 23 0031 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 16 - 22 July 2018

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Region 2716 (N16, L=199, class/area=Axx/10 on 21 Jul) was briefly the sole active region with sunspots, but was largely unproductive. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed this period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels on 22 Jul with normal levels observed through the rest of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to unsettled on 16-17, 20-21 Jul with generally quiet conditions observed throughout the remainder of the period. The activity on 20-21 Jul was associated with the weak influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 July - 18 August 2018

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 23-31 Jul and moderate levels are expected on 01-11, and 18 Aug. Normal levels are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 24 Jul due to the influence of a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream. Active conditions are expected on
23, 25 Jul and 17 Aug due to the influence of multiple, recurrent coronal hole high speed streams. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook
period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jul 23 0031 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2018-07-23
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2018 Jul 23      70          10          4
2018 Jul 24      70          25          5
2018 Jul 25      70          15          4
2018 Jul 26      70          10          3
2018 Jul 27      70          10          3
2018 Jul 28      70           8          3
2018 Jul 29      68           8          3
2018 Jul 30      68           5          2
2018 Jul 31      68           5          2
2018 Aug 01      68           5          2
2018 Aug 02      68           5          2
2018 Aug 03      68           5          2
2018 Aug 04      68           5          2
2018 Aug 05      68           5          2
2018 Aug 06      68           5          2
2018 Aug 07      68           5          2
2018 Aug 08      68           5          2
2018 Aug 09      68           5          2
2018 Aug 10      68           5          2
2018 Aug 11      70           5          2
2018 Aug 12      70           8          3
2018 Aug 13      70           8          3
2018 Aug 14      70           5          2
2018 Aug 15      70           5          2
2018 Aug 16      70           7          3
2018 Aug 17      70          12          4
2018 Aug 18      70           5          2
(NOAA)