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Monday, February 03, 2020
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 Feb 03 0217 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 27 January - 02 February 2020
Solar activity was very low. Region 2757 (N05, L=089, class/area Cso/100 on 27 Jan) decayed to played before rotating around the W. limb. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate throughout the reporting period.
Geomagnetic field activity range from quiet to active. Isolated active conditions were observed on 30 Jan while unsettled conditions were observed on 28-27 Jan, 31 Jan and 02 Feb. Solar wind measurements suggested all enhancements in geomagnetic activity were in response to intermittent influence from the Southern Crown coronal hole. The remainder of the reporting period was quiet.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 03 February - 29 February 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook
period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to range from normal to high levels. High levels are expected on 07-13 Feb, in response to a negative polarity CH HSS. The remainder or the outlook period is expected to be at normal to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels. Active conditions are likely on 06 Feb and 26 Feb; unsettled conditions are likely on 07-09 Feb, 25 Feb and 27 Feb. 2020 Enhancements in geomagnetic activity are in response to influence from multiple, recurrent, coronal hole high speed streams. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet levels.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 Feb 03 0217 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2020-02-03
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2020 Feb 03 70 5 2
2020 Feb 04 70 5 2
2020 Feb 05 70 5 2
2020 Feb 06 70 12 4
2020 Feb 07 70 10 3
2020 Feb 08 70 10 3
2020 Feb 09 70 8 3
2020 Feb 10 70 5 2
2020 Feb 11 70 5 2
2020 Feb 12 70 5 2
2020 Feb 13 70 5 2
2020 Feb 14 70 5 2
2020 Feb 15 70 5 2
2020 Feb 16 71 5 2
2020 Feb 17 72 5 2
2020 Feb 18 72 5 2
2020 Feb 19 72 5 2
2020 Feb 20 72 5 2
2020 Feb 21 72 5 2
2020 Feb 22 72 5 2
2020 Feb 23 72 5 2
2020 Feb 24 72 5 2
2020 Feb 25 72 8 3
2020 Feb 26 72 12 4
2020 Feb 27 72 10 3
2020 Feb 28 72 5 2
2020 Feb 29 72 5 2
(NOAA)