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Monday, July 13, 2020
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 Jul 13 0246 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 - 12 July 2020
Solar activity was very low throughout the summary period. Region 2766 (N05, L=122, class/area Bxo/010 on 10 Jul) was the only spotted region and decayed to plage by 11 Jul.
A filament eruption near S29W18 produced a faint, slow-moving CME signature in LASCO/SOHO C2 imagery beginning at 09/0724 UTC. Analysis and modeling of the event suggested a possible glancing blow from the CME around 14 Jul.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels throughout the summary period.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet. No significant periods of southward Bz were observed.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 13 July - 08 August 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very low over the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels. Unsettled conditions are likely on 13 Jul and 31 Jul - 01 Aug in response to coronal hole influence. Active conditions are also likely on 14 Jul due to the anticipated arrival of a slow-moving transient that left the Sun on 09 Jul. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet levels and under a nominal solar wind environment.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jul 13 0246 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2020-07-13
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2020 Jul 13 68 8 3
2020 Jul 14 68 12 4
2020 Jul 15 68 8 3
2020 Jul 16 68 5 2
2020 Jul 17 68 5 2
2020 Jul 18 68 5 2
2020 Jul 19 68 5 2
2020 Jul 20 68 5 2
2020 Jul 21 68 5 2
2020 Jul 22 68 5 2
2020 Jul 23 68 5 2
2020 Jul 24 68 5 2
2020 Jul 25 69 5 2
2020 Jul 26 69 5 2
2020 Jul 27 69 5 2
2020 Jul 28 69 5 2
2020 Jul 29 69 5 2
2020 Jul 30 69 5 2
2020 Jul 31 69 8 3
2020 Aug 01 69 10 3
2020 Aug 02 68 5 2
2020 Aug 03 68 5 2
2020 Aug 04 68 5 2
2020 Aug 05 68 5 2
2020 Aug 06 68 5 2
2020 Aug 07 68 5 2
2020 Aug 08 68 5 2
(NOAA)