:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Oct 31 0117 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 24 - 30 October 2022
Solar activity was at low levels during the period. Weak to moderate levels of C-class activity were observed from Regions 3126 (S10, L=233, class/area Dai/160 on 25 Oct), 3130 (S25, L=185, class/area Dao/090 on 27 Oct), 3131 (N23, L=111, class/area Cso/190 on 27 Oct), 3133 (N26, L=095, class/area Dao/140 on 28 Oct) and 3135 (N27, L=063, class/area Eao/160 on 30 Oct). No Earth-directed CMEs were detected during the period.
No proton events were observed in geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels on 24-29 October. High levels were observed on 30 Oct with a peak flux of 3,715 pfu observed at 30/1735 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to G1 (Minor) storm levels during the period. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed from 24-27 October. Activity levels increased from unsettled to active on 28 October, unsettled to G1 (Minor) storm levels on 29 October and quiet to active levels on 30 October. The increase in activity on 28-30 October was due to positive polarity coronal high-speed stream effects.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 31 October - 26 November 2022
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels on 31 Oct - 02 Nov and 18 - 26 Nov. There is a slight chance for M-class activity on 03 - 17 Nov due to the return of previously active regions with M-class flare history.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at moderate to high levels on 31 Oct - 09 Nov and 26 Nov. Low to moderate levels are expected on 10 - 25 Nov.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 31 Oct - 06 Nov, 10-12 Nov, 18-19 Nov, and 24-26 Nov. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are possible on 05, 18, and 25 Nov. This elevated level of activity is in anticipation of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs. The remainder of the outlook period is likely to be at mostly quiet levels.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Oct 31 0117 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-10-31
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Oct 31 130 15 4
2022 Nov 01 130 18 4
2022 Nov 02 130 12 4
2022 Nov 03 130 10 3
2022 Nov 04 130 12 4
2022 Nov 05 128 20 5
2022 Nov 06 126 15 4
2022 Nov 07 126 5 2
2022 Nov 08 124 5 2
2022 Nov 09 126 5 2
2022 Nov 10 126 18 5
2022 Nov 11 126 18 4
2022 Nov 12 128 15 4
2022 Nov 13 128 5 2
2022 Nov 14 126 5 2
2022 Nov 15 126 5 2
2022 Nov 16 124 5 2
2022 Nov 17 124 5 2
2022 Nov 18 124 25 5
2022 Nov 19 124 15 4
2022 Nov 20 126 8 3
2022 Nov 21 126 5 2
2022 Nov 22 128 5 2
2022 Nov 23 128 8 3
2022 Nov 24 130 15 4
2022 Nov 25 130 25 5
2022 Nov 26 130 15 4
(NOAA)