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Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Dec 05 0144 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 28 November - 04 December 2022
Solar activity was at low to moderate (R1-Minor) levels during this period. Region 3152 (N27, L=083, class/area Cao/120 on 26 Nov) produced an M1.0/1n at 01/0721 UTC. Region 3157 (N16, L=300, class/area Dso/210 on 04 Dec) produced an M1.2/Sn flare at 03/1741 UTC. A 456 km/s Type II Sweep signature was associated with this event. Numerous C-class activity was also associated with both of these regions as well as C-class activity from Regions 3151 (S16, L=154, class/area Dao/060 on 24 Nov), 3153 (S17, L=327, class/area Fko/1080 on 04 Dec), 3155 (N23, L=026, class/area Dai/140 on 04 Dec) and 3156 (N25, L=319, class/area Dao/220 on 03 Dec). No Earth-directed CME signatures were detected during the period.
No proton events were observed in geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate levels on 28 Nov and high levels on 29-30 Nov and 01-04 Dec. A peak flux of 17,351 pfu was observed at 03/1740 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity generally ranged from unsettled to active levels throughout the period. Minor storm levels (G1-Minor) were observed on 28-30 Nov and 01 Dec. The field was under the influence of a pair of positive polarity CH HSSs.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 05 December - 31 December 2022
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels. M-class (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) flares are possible on 05-13 Dec and 18-31 Dec due to current and returning M-class producing regions.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 05-08 Dec and 24-31 Dec due to CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 07-09 Dec, 17-18 Dec and 22-31 Dec with G1 (Minor) storm levels expected on 22 Dec and 25-28 Dec due to recurrent CH HSS effects.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Dec 05 0145 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-12-05
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Dec 05 145 8 3
2022 Dec 06 145 5 2
2022 Dec 07 143 12 4
2022 Dec 08 143 15 4
2022 Dec 09 140 8 3
2022 Dec 10 140 5 2
2022 Dec 11 135 5 2
2022 Dec 12 130 5 2
2022 Dec 13 125 5 2
2022 Dec 14 125 5 2
2022 Dec 15 115 5 2
2022 Dec 16 110 5 2
2022 Dec 17 110 10 3
2022 Dec 18 110 10 3
2022 Dec 19 110 5 2
2022 Dec 20 115 5 2
2022 Dec 21 115 5 2
2022 Dec 22 115 20 5
2022 Dec 23 120 15 4
2022 Dec 24 120 12 4
2022 Dec 25 120 20 5
2022 Dec 26 120 20 5
2022 Dec 27 120 20 5
2022 Dec 28 120 20 5
2022 Dec 29 125 12 4
2022 Dec 30 130 10 3
2022 Dec 31 135 12 4
(NOAA)