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Monday, July 15, 2024

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2024 Jul 15 0201 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 - 14 July 2024



Solar activity was at low to strong levels during the period. R1 (minor) solar radiation storms were observed on 08, 10, 11, 13 and 14 Jul, R2 (moderate) storms were observed on 13 Jul and R3 (strong) storms were observed on 14 Jul. Regions 3738 (S09, L=213, class/area Fkc/1140 on 14 Jul), 3745 (S15, L=156, class/area Dro/020 on 13 Jul) and 3747 (S24, L=155, class/area Cso/180 on 13 Jul) contributed a majority of the activity. None of the activity resulted in any Earth-directed CMEs. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels. 

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to isolated unsettled levels with no discernible activity during the period. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 July - 10 August 2024

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels throughout the period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at low to moderate levels. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on 18-20 Jul due to recurrent CH HSS influences. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on the remaining days, pending CME activity. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2024 Jul 15 0202 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2024-07-15
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2024 Jul 15     230           5          2
2024 Jul 16     230           5          2
2024 Jul 17     230           5          2
2024 Jul 18     210           8          4
2024 Jul 19     200           8          3
2024 Jul 20     200           8          3
2024 Jul 21     200           5          2
2024 Jul 22     195           5          2
2024 Jul 23     190           5          2
2024 Jul 24     185           5          2
2024 Jul 25     180           5          2
2024 Jul 26     180           5          2
2024 Jul 27     180           5          2
2024 Jul 28     175           5          2
2024 Jul 29     170           5          2
2024 Jul 30     170           5          2
2024 Jul 31     170           5          2
2024 Aug 01     165           5          2
2024 Aug 02     165           5          2
2024 Aug 03     170           5          2
2024 Aug 04     170           5          2
2024 Aug 05     180           5          2
2024 Aug 06     190           5          2
2024 Aug 07     200           5          2
2024 Aug 08     200           5          2
2024 Aug 09     200           5          2
2024 Aug 10     200           5          2
(NOAA)