Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2024 Sep 30 0122 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 - 29 September 2024
Solar activity reached moderate levels on 23, 25-26, and 29 Sep with a total of six R1 (Minor) events observed throughout the week. Low levels of solar activity and C-class flare activity were observed throughout the remainder of the period. The largest events of the period were a pair of M1.7 flares from Region 3842 (S15, L=178, class/area=Dai/230 on 29 Sep) at 29/1424 and 1441 UTC. No Earth-directed CMEs resulted from this week's solar activity.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 23 Sep, and normal to moderate levels on 24-29 Sep.
Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels on 23 and 26 Sep, and G1 (Minor) storm levels on 24-25 Sep, due to the passage of CMEs (23-25 Sep) and the influence of a positive polarity CH HSS (25-26 Sep). Quiet to unsettled conditions were observed over 27-29 Sep.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 30 September - 26 October 2024
Solar activity is expected to range from low to moderate levels. R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) events are likely, with a slight chance for R3 or greater events, throughout the period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring significant flare activity.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is likely to reach high levels on 12-15 Oct, with normal to moderate levels likely to persist throughout the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach active levels on 30 Sep due to negative polarity CH HSS influences. Active levels are likely on 05-06, and 10 Oct due to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Periods of G1 (Minor) storming are likely on 11-12, and 22 Oct due to positive polarity CH HSS influences.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2024 Sep 30 0122 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2024-09-30
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2024 Sep 30 200 10 4
2024 Oct 01 200 5 2
2024 Oct 02 200 5 2
2024 Oct 03 205 5 2
2024 Oct 04 205 5 2
2024 Oct 05 205 10 4
2024 Oct 06 205 10 4
2024 Oct 07 205 5 2
2024 Oct 08 205 5 2
2024 Oct 09 200 5 2
2024 Oct 10 185 10 4
2024 Oct 11 175 20 5
2024 Oct 12 175 19 5
2024 Oct 13 175 5 2
2024 Oct 14 175 5 2
2024 Oct 15 175 5 2
2024 Oct 16 175 5 2
2024 Oct 17 170 5 2
2024 Oct 18 170 5 2
2024 Oct 19 170 5 2
2024 Oct 20 170 5 2
2024 Oct 21 170 5 2
2024 Oct 22 175 28 5
2024 Oct 23 180 10 3
2024 Oct 24 185 5 2
2024 Oct 25 190 5 2
2024 Oct 26 195 5 2
(NOAA)