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Sunday, December 28, 2008

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2008 Dec 23 2251 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
15 - 21 December 2008

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was spotless during the entire summary period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels during the entire summary period.

Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels at all latitudes during the period. Isolated unsettled activity was observed at high latitudes late on 17 December due to a brief excursion of southward Bz (-5 nT at 17/1400 UTC) as measured at ACE. During the summary period, ACE solar wind measurements varied between a high of 377 km/s at 17/0338 UTC to a low of 278 km/s at 21/1833 UTC. The Bz component of the IMF varied between a low of -6.8 nT at 17/0101 UTC to a high of +8.5 nT at 17/0255 UTC.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
24 December 2008 - 19 January 2009

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels during 02 - 06 January. Normal levels are expected 24 December - 01 January and again on 07 - 19 January.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during 24 - 30 December. Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels during 31 December - 02 January due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 03 - 17 January. Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels during 18 - 19 January.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2008 Dec 23 2252 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2008 Dec 23
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2008 Dec 24 68 5 2
2008 Dec 25 68 5 2
2008 Dec 26 69 5 2
2008 Dec 27 70 5 2
2008 Dec 28 71 5 2
2008 Dec 29 71 5 2
2008 Dec 30 71 5 2
2008 Dec 31 71 8 3
2009 Jan 01 71 10 3
2009 Jan 02 71 10 3
2009 Jan 03 71 5 2
2009 Jan 04 71 5 2
2009 Jan 05 71 5 2
2009 Jan 06 70 5 2
2009 Jan 07 70 5 2
2009 Jan 08 69 5 2
2009 Jan 09 68 5 2
2009 Jan 10 68 5 2
2009 Jan 11 68 5 2
2009 Jan 12 68 5 2
2009 Jan 13 68 5 2
2009 Jan 14 68 5 2
2009 Jan 15 68 5 2
2009 Jan 16 68 5 2
2009 Jan 17 68 5 2
2009 Jan 18 68 10 3
2009 Jan 19 68 8 3
(NOAA)