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Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Dec 26 0226 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 19 - 25 December 2022
Solar activity reached moderate levels on 20 Dec. Region 3169 (N19, L=116, class/area=Dho/290 on 21 Dec) produced an M1/Sf at 20/1406 UTC which was the largest event of the period. Low levels of solar activity and C-class flare activity were observed throughout the remainder of the period. A CME from 24 Dec was determined to have an Earth-directed component and is expected to arrive on 27 Dec. No other Earth-directed CMEs were detected this period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 24-25 Dec, and normal to moderate levels were observed on 17-23 Dec.
Geomagnetic field activity reached minor storm levels on 23 Dec, and active levels on 19, 22, and 24 Dec, all due to CH HSS influences. Quiet to unsettled field activity was observed throughout the remainder of the period.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 26 December - 21 January 2023
Solar activity is expected to be low throughout the period with a slight chance for M-class flare activity.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 26 Dec-03 Jan, and 20-21 Jan. Normal to moderate levels are expected to persist throughout the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach minor storm levels on 27 Dec due to the anticipated arrival of a CME from 24 Dec in addition to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Minor storms are expected again on 03 Jan and 19-20 Jan due to the influences of multiple recurrent CH HSSs. Active conditions are expected on 28, 30-31 Dec and 04, 18 Jan. Quiet and quiet to unsettled activity are expected to persist throughout the remainder of the period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Dec 26 0226 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-12-26
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Dec 26 135 10 3
2022 Dec 27 136 30 5
2022 Dec 28 138 15 4
2022 Dec 29 132 10 3
2022 Dec 30 134 15 4
2022 Dec 31 132 12 4
2023 Jan 01 130 10 3
2023 Jan 02 130 5 2
2023 Jan 03 135 18 5
2023 Jan 04 140 10 4
2023 Jan 05 140 10 3
2023 Jan 06 140 8 3
2023 Jan 07 140 10 3
2023 Jan 08 140 5 2
2023 Jan 09 136 5 2
2023 Jan 10 130 5 2
2023 Jan 11 135 5 2
2023 Jan 12 130 5 2
2023 Jan 13 130 5 2
2023 Jan 14 130 5 3
2023 Jan 15 128 5 2
2023 Jan 16 125 5 2
2023 Jan 17 120 8 3
2023 Jan 18 120 12 4
2023 Jan 19 120 25 5
2023 Jan 20 120 20 5
2023 Jan 21 125 10 3
(NOAA)