Thursday, December 10, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Dec 08 1921 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#



# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
30 November - 06 December 2009

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the period. The solar disk was spotless during the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal background levels during the period.

The geomagnetic field was quiet throughout the period. Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft showed the onset of a co-rotating interaction region early on 06 December, which was followed by the onset of a very weak high speed stream. The high speed stream velocities averaged around 380 km/s, and slowly declined thereafter. The high speed stream was associated with an isolated northern recurrent coronal hole as observed in solar EUV
imagery.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
09 December 2009 - 04 January 2010

Solar activity is expected to be predominantly very low with just a slight chance for brief periods of low. No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal background levels through the period.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for 9-17 December. An increase to quiet to unsettled levels is expected on 18 December due to a recurrent high speed stream. Quiet levels are expected to predominate for the remainder of the outlook period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 08 1921 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html


# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Dec 08
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Dec 09 72 5 2
2009 Dec 10 72 5 2
2009 Dec 11 75 5 2
2009 Dec 12 75 5 2
2009 Dec 13 75 5 2
2009 Dec 14 75 5 2
2009 Dec 15 75 5 2
2009 Dec 16 75 5 2
2009 Dec 17 75 5 2
2009 Dec 18 75 8 3
2009 Dec 19 75 5 2
2009 Dec 20 75 5 2
2009 Dec 21 75 5 2
2009 Dec 22 75 5 2
2009 Dec 23 75 5 2
2009 Dec 24 74 5 2
2009 Dec 25 73 5 2
2009 Dec 26 72 5 2
2009 Dec 27 71 5 2
2009 Dec 28 70 5 2
2009 Dec 29 72 5 2
2009 Dec 30 72 5 2
2009 Dec 31 72 5 2
2010 Jan 01 72 5 2
2010 Jan 02 72 5 2
2010 Jan 03 71 5 2
2010 Jan 04 71 5 2
(NOAA)