RSGB
RadCom Assistant Editor | September 25, 2026
Compiled by G0KYA, G3YLA and G4BAO on 23 September.
As we head towards the end of September, we are seeing daytime maximum usable frequencies, or MUFs, starting to climb. The daytime MUF over 3,000km is reaching 12m and is just touching 10m at times.
Within a few weeks we can expect it to reach 10m on a regular basis, perhaps bringing transatlantic QSOs to 28MHz once again.
Meanwhile, we can make the most of the openings on the 17, 15 and 12m bands, which are showing promise with increasing propagation to Asia, North Africa, South Africa and South America.
The solar flux index is hanging in there. Last week it fell to 96 but then rebounded back into the low 100s.
There are currently eight sunspot groups visible on the Sun. The good news is that geomagnetic conditions have been calm, with the Kp index mostly in the ones and twos.
That could soon change, however, thanks to a large coronal hole on the Sun’s surface.
These are dark, cool and less dense regions in the Sun’s outer atmosphere, when viewed in ultraviolet, with open magnetic field lines. This one stretches from the solar equator to its pole. There are also two coronal holes following it, which may cause more problems.
With the equinox, we often see more auroral activity due to the Earth-Sun alignment and the Russell-McPherron effect.
Once auroral conditions clear, the Kp index should return to normal, with a Kp of 2 predicted from Monday, 28 September onwards. The solar flux index may even improve slightly, with a forecast solar flux index of 115 towards the end of the month.
Make the most of the HF conditions by working one of the DX stations on the air. You can choose from 5W0AF in Samoa; JD1BON and friends on the Ogasawara Islands; OX3LX in Greenland; FR/F1TEQ and FH/F1TEQ from Reunion and Mayotte and 8Q7JH operating from the Maldives.
VHF and up propagation news:
Compiled by G3YLA and G4BAO
Recently, the overall characteristic of the weather in southern areas has been one of high pressure, giving some occasional tropo.
This region of high pressure will drift away by this weekend as a deep low over the northern Atlantic drives a weakening cold front south so any major tropo will probably not survive into the coming week.
The rest of the period looks generally unsettled.
The northern half of Britain will have the more active part of any weather system crossing the country and therefore will also have a better chance of some rain scatter on the GHz bands.
This time of the year we often experience some very active Atlantic storms. Although they may not cross the UK directly, they may be close enough for severe gales and damaging winds in northwestern areas by the middle of the coming week.
It is a good time to make sure your antenna guys are in good shape and keep an eye on the forecasts.
There are no major meteor showers in the period so, once again, any activity is likely to be random, and this is typically best in the hours just before dawn.
The prospect for auroras is a little more interesting since we are now just past the equinox of 22 September.
t is a preferential time to be alert for auroras due to the way the Earth’s magnetic field aligns better with the Sun’s magnetic field.
This makes it easier for the solar wind to get through and create auroras.
EME now, and Moon declination went positive at Moonset on Friday, 25 September. This means we will see lengthening Moon windows and higher peak Moon elevation into the coming week.
Path losses continue to fall. 144MHz sky noise starts the week low, increasing to moderate by Friday, 2 October.
(Mike Terry, UK/BDXC)
.jpg)

