Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jun 06 0156 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 30 May - 05 June 2016
Solar activity ranged from very low to low levels. Low activity was observed on 30 May with a pair of C1/Sf flares observed from Region 2550 (N15, L=114, class/area Cro/020 on 31 May). Very low levels were observed on 31 May and 01-05 Jun. Of note, the first spotless day since 17 Jul 2014 was observed on 03 Jun.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels on 30 May - 04 Jun with moderate levels observed on 05 Jun.
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to minor storm (G1-Minor) levels. Quiet to active levels were observed on 30-31 May due to negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) influence. During this time frame, wind speeds peaked at about 575 km/s early on 30 May while the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field reached a maximum southward of extent of -6 nT late on 31 May. Quiet conditions were observed on 01 Jun through midday on 05 Jun. Active to G1 storm levels were observed through the remainder of 05 Jun due to effects from another negative polarity CH HSS. Late on 05 Jun, wind speeds approached 650 km/s, total field reached 19 nT while the Bz component briefly hit a maximum southward extent of -15 nT.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 June - 02 July 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with C-class activity possible throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be reach high levels on 07-09, 12-16, 26-30 Jun and 01 Jul. Normal to moderate levels are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) levels on 06 Jun and 02 Jul with unsettled to active levels expected on 12-15, 17-18, 23-24 and 26-27 Jun, all due to the influence of multiple recurrent CH HSSs. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period under a nominal solar wind regime.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Jun 06 0156 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2016-06-06
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Jun 06 78 20 5
2016 Jun 07 78 8 3
2016 Jun 08 82 5 2
2016 Jun 09 82 5 2
2016 Jun 10 82 5 2
2016 Jun 11 85 5 2
2016 Jun 12 85 12 4
2016 Jun 13 85 12 4
2016 Jun 14 85 8 3
2016 Jun 15 90 8 3
2016 Jun 16 90 5 2
2016 Jun 17 90 15 5
2016 Jun 18 90 10 3
2016 Jun 19 90 5 2
2016 Jun 20 90 5 2
2016 Jun 21 85 5 2
2016 Jun 22 85 5 2
2016 Jun 23 85 10 3
2016 Jun 24 85 12 4
2016 Jun 25 80 8 3
2016 Jun 26 80 10 3
2016 Jun 27 80 10 3
2016 Jun 28 80 5 2
2016 Jun 29 78 5 2
2016 Jun 30 78 5 2
2016 Jul 01 78 5 2
2016 Jul 02 78 25 5
(NOAA)
