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Monday, December 04, 2017
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Dec 04 1640 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 27 November - 03 December 2017
Solar activity was at very low levels. The only spotted region on the disk, Region 2689 (N13, L=108, class/area Cao/060 on 26 Nov), was quiet and stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected. No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate flux levels throughout the period. A maximum flux of 602 pfu was observed at 27/1435 UTC. Geomagnetic field activity was at predominately quiet levels through the period. Isolated unsettled and active periods were observed on 28 and 30 Nov and again on 01-02 Dec due to waning, negative
polarity CH HSS influence. Solar wind speed averaged about 425 km/s through the period with a peak speed of 525 km/s observed midday on 30 Nov and again early on 01 Dec.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 04 December - 30 December 2017
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels though out the outlook period. No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 05-10, 12-17 and 19-21 Dec due to recurrent CH HSS influence. Normal to moderate levels are expected
for the remainder of the outlook period. Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at G1 (Minor) levels on 04-06 Dec and 18 Dec with G2 (Moderate) levels expected on 04-05 Dec due to recurrent CH HSS effects. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 07-08, 11-14, 17-21 and 27-28 Dec due to recurrent CH HSS effects. Mostly quiet levels are expected for the remainder of the outlook period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Dec 04 1640 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2017-12-04
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2017 Dec 04 70 32 6
2017 Dec 05 70 48 6
2017 Dec 06 70 18 5
2017 Dec 07 70 12 4
2017 Dec 08 70 8 3
2017 Dec 09 70 5 2
2017 Dec 10 70 5 2
2017 Dec 11 70 12 4
2017 Dec 12 72 15 4
2017 Dec 13 75 12 4
2017 Dec 14 75 8 3
2017 Dec 15 75 5 2
2017 Dec 16 75 5 2
2017 Dec 17 74 8 3
2017 Dec 18 73 25 5
2017 Dec 19 73 10 3
2017 Dec 20 73 8 3
2017 Dec 21 74 8 3
2017 Dec 22 74 5 2
2017 Dec 23 76 5 2
2017 Dec 24 74 5 2
2017 Dec 25 72 5 2
2017 Dec 26 73 5 2
2017 Dec 27 72 10 4
2017 Dec 28 70 8 3
2017 Dec 29 70 5 2
2017 Dec 30 70 5 2
(NOAA)