Monday, March 23, 2026

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2026 Mar 23 0245 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 16 - 22 March 2026


Solar activity reached moderate levels on 16-18 Mar, with low levels observed on 19-22 Mar. Region 4392 (S16, L=018, class/area=Csi/200 on 17 Mar) produced most of the flare activity observed throughout
the week, including three M-flares (R1-Minor). AR4392 produced an M2.7 flare at 16/1215 UTC with accompanying Type-II (est. 1,227 km/s), Type-IV, and Tenflare (380 sfu) emissions. The subsequent
asymmetric halo CME, first observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 16/1236 UTC, arrived at Earth on 20 Mar. AR4392 produced another M2.7 flare at 18/0842 UTC with accompanying Type-II (est. 860 km/s) and
Tenflare (229 sfu) emissions. The associated CME, first visible in LASCO C2 imagery at 18/0936 UTC, arrived simultaneously with the 16 Mar CME on 20 Mar. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 16-20 and 22 Mar. Normal to moderate levels were observed on 21 Mar following a period of an elevated geomagnetic field
activity. 

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1-G3 (Minor-Strong) geomagnetic storm levels on 20-22 Mar, following the arrival of multiple CMEs  (that left the Sun on 16 and 18 Mar) on 20 Mar. The remainder of the
period was at quiet and quiet to unsettled levels under ambient solar wind conditions. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 March - 18 April 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a varying chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares through 18 Apr. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring significant flare activity. 

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 23-25, 27-28, 30-31 Mar and 04-09, 11-15 Apr. Normal to moderate flux levels are expected to prevail
throughout the remainder of the period. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 23 Mar due to negative polarity CH HSS influences. Periods of G1 (Minor) storming are
likely on 03-04 Apr in response to negative polarity CH HSS influences. Periods of G1 (Minor) storming are likely on 09 and 11 Apr, with G2 (Moderate) storm periods likely on 10 Apr, due to
positive polarity CH HSS influences. G2 (Moderate) storm periods are likely again on 18 Apr following the onset of negative polarity CH HSS influences. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2026 Mar 23 0245 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2026-03-23
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2026 Mar 23     120          34          6
2026 Mar 24     120          14          3
2026 Mar 25     122          12          3
2026 Mar 26     125          12          3
2026 Mar 27     130           8          3
2026 Mar 28     130           5          2
2026 Mar 29     128           8          3
2026 Mar 30     125          15          4
2026 Mar 31     125          10          3
2026 Apr 01     130           5          2
2026 Apr 02     120           5          2
2026 Apr 03     120          18          5
2026 Apr 04     115          24          5
2026 Apr 05     110          10          3
2026 Apr 06     120          15          4
2026 Apr 07     120           8          3
2026 Apr 08     118           7          2
2026 Apr 09     120          25          5
2026 Apr 10     110          40          6
2026 Apr 11     112          20          5
2026 Apr 12     115          12          3
2026 Apr 13     115           8          3
2026 Apr 14     110           7          2
2026 Apr 15     115           5          2
2026 Apr 16     115           4          2
2026 Apr 17     120           7          2
2026 Apr 18     122          48          6
(NOAA)