Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Jan 27 2246 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC cweb contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
19 - 25 January 2009

Solar activity was very low. No significant flare activity was observed. Region 1011 (S12, L305, class/area Bxo/010 on 20 January) formed on the disk on 19 January and decayed to spotless plage by 20 January.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal levels.

Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels during the period. A single active period was observed at all latitudes early on 19 January. This activity was due to a recurrent coronal hole. A 12 nT sudden impulse was detected at Boulder at 25/2225 UTC. During the early part of the summary period, ACE solar wind velocities ranged from a high of 501 km/sec at 19/1931 UTC to a low of 265 km/sec at 25/1056 UTC. The Bz component of the IMF ranged primarily
between -4 nT to +3 nT. At the beginning of the summary period, the Bz component varied between -10 nT to +8 nT. At the end of the period, the Bz component ranged between -7nT to +4 nT. The Bt varied from 0-13 nT during the entire summary period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 January - 23 February 2009

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal levels.
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 28 January. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 29 January - 14 February. Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on 15 February, with isolated active levels due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 16-21 February as the HSS subsides. Activity is expected to increase to
quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active levels on 22 February. Activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels on 23 February.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jan 27 2247 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Jan 27
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Jan 28 70 8 3
2009 Jan 29 70 5 2
2009 Jan 30 70 5 2
2009 Jan 31 70 5 2
2009 Feb 01 70 5 2
2009 Feb 02 70 5 2
2009 Feb 03 70 5 2
2009 Feb 04 70 5 2
2009 Feb 05 70 5 2
2009 Feb 06 70 5 2
2009 Feb 07 70 5 2
2009 Feb 08 70 5 2
2009 Feb 09 70 5 2
2009 Feb 10 70 5 2
2009 Feb 11 70 5 2
2009 Feb 12 70 5 2
2009 Feb 13 70 5 2
2009 Feb 14 70 5 2
2009 Feb 15 70 8 3
2009 Feb 16 70 5 2
2009 Feb 17 70 5 2
2009 Feb 18 70 5 2
2009 Feb 19 70 5 2
2009 Feb 20 70 5 2
2009 Feb 21 70 5 2
2009 Feb 22 70 5 2
2009 Feb 23 70 5 2
(NOAA)