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Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Aug 13 0125 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 - 12 August 2018
Solar activity was very low throughout the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was normal background levels throughout the period.
Geomagnetic field activity was ranged from quiet to active. Quiet levels were observed on 06 Aug, 08-10 Aug and 12 Aug; unsettled levels were reached on 07 Aug and active levels were reached on 11 Aug. Mostly nominal solar wind conditions were observed through the period. A SSBC followed by very weak influence from a negative polarity CH HSS occurred on 11 Aug. Total magnetic field strength briefly reached 11 nT around 11/0400 UTC but no significant periods of southward Bz were observed.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 13 August - 08 September 2018
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to range from normal to moderate levels over the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active levels over the outlook period. Unsettled levels are expected on 13 Aug, 18 Aug, 04 Sep and 07-08 Sep; active levels are expected on 16-17 Aug, 20-21 Aug and 03 Sep. All increases in geomagnetic activity are anticipated in response to multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet levels.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Aug 13 0125 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-08-13
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Aug 13 68 8 3
2018 Aug 14 68 5 2
2018 Aug 15 68 5 2
2018 Aug 16 68 12 4
2018 Aug 17 68 15 4
2018 Aug 18 68 8 3
2018 Aug 19 68 5 2
2018 Aug 20 68 15 4
2018 Aug 21 68 12 4
2018 Aug 22 68 5 2
2018 Aug 23 70 5 2
2018 Aug 24 70 5 2
2018 Aug 25 70 5 2
2018 Aug 26 70 5 2
2018 Aug 27 70 5 2
2018 Aug 28 70 5 2
2018 Aug 29 70 5 2
2018 Aug 30 70 5 2
2018 Aug 31 70 5 2
2018 Sep 01 70 5 2
2018 Sep 02 70 5 2
2018 Sep 03 70 12 4
2018 Sep 04 70 8 3
2018 Sep 05 70 5 2
2018 Sep 06 68 5 2
2018 Sep 07 68 10 3
2018 Sep 08 68 8 3
(NOAA)