:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2023 Jul 10 0127 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 03 - 09 July 2023
Solar activity reached moderate levels (R1-Minor) on 03-07 Jul and declined to low levels on 08-09 Jul. Region 3354 (N16, L=168, class/area Fkc/1150 on 02 Jul) produced an M1.4/Sf at 04/1235 UTC and an M1.0/Sf at 06/1049 UTC. Region 3358 (S13, L=068, class/area Dai/100 on 03 Jul) produced an M1.3/1n at 03/0653 UTC. Region 3361 (N24, L=042, class/area Ekc/260 on 08 Jul) produced an M1.0/Sf on 05/1858 UTC. Region 3359 (S21, L=072, class/area Dao/240 on 06 Jul) produced the largest event of the period, an M4.0/2b at 07/0629 UTC. This event also produced a 190 sfu Tenflare. During the period, no Earth-directed CMEs were detected.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels on 03-05 Jul with a peak flux of 3,560 pfu observed at 05/1650 UTC. Normal to moderate levels were observed on 06-09 Jul. Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels on 03 Jul to midday on 05 Jul. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed from midday 05 Jul to 07 Jul, with isolated active intervals from midday on 07 Jul to early on 08 Jul. This activity was the result of weak transient activity coupled with positive polarity CH HSS. The majority of 08 Jul through 09 Jul observed quiet conditions.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 10 July - 05 August 2023
Solar activity is expected to be at low to R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) levels throughout the forecast period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels throughout the forecast period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach unsettled levels on 10-11 Jul and 03-04 Aug due to positive polarity CH HSS influence. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 13-14 Jul due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Mostly quiet levels are expected on 12, 15-31 Jul, 01-02 and 05 Aug.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2023 Jul 10 0128 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPCweb contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2023-07-10
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2023 Jul 10 175 8 3
2023 Jul 11 175 8 3
2023 Jul 12 170 5 2
2023 Jul 13 165 15 4
2023 Jul 14 165 10 3
2023 Jul 15 165 5 2
2023 Jul 16 170 5 2
2023 Jul 17 175 5 2
2023 Jul 18 175 5 2
2023 Jul 19 170 5 2
2023 Jul 20 170 5 2
2023 Jul 21 170 5 2
2023 Jul 22 160 5 2
2023 Jul 23 160 5 2
2023 Jul 24 155 5 2
2023 Jul 25 155 5 2
2023 Jul 26 160 5 2
2023 Jul 27 160 5 2
2023 Jul 28 165 5 2
2023 Jul 29 165 5 2
2023 Jul 30 170 5 2
2023 Jul 31 170 5 2
2023 Aug 01 165 5 2
2023 Aug 02 165 5 2
2023 Aug 03 165 10 3
2023 Aug 04 165 8 3
2023 Aug 05 170 5 2
(NOAA)
