Tuesday, July 01, 2008

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2008 Jul 01 2024 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
23 - 29 June 2008

Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible
disk was spotless.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during 23 - 24, 27, and 29 June.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels until late on 24 June when activity increased to unsettled levels. A further increase to active levels occurred during 25 - 26 June with minor to major storm levels at high latitudes. Activity decreased to quiet to unsettled levels for the remainder of the period. ACE solar wind measurements indicated a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) occurred during 24 - 25 June in advance of a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream (HSS). The CIR was associated with increased proton densities (peak 20 p/cc at 24/2251 UTC), a solar sector boundary crossing (toward (-) to away (+)), and changes in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). IMF changes included increased Bt (peak 15 nT at 25/1710 UTC) and intermittent periods of southward Bz (minimum -10 nT at 25/1735 UTC). The HSS commenced on 25 June, reached a peak velocity of 686 km/sec at 26/1846 UTC, then began to gradually subside on 28 June. Solar wind velocities decreased to a low of 470 km/sec by the end of the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
02 - 28 July 2008

Solar activity is expected to be very low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels during 13 - 21 July.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during 02 - 11 July. Activity is expected to increase to active levels during 12 - 13 July with storm levels possible at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to unsettled levels during 14 - 17 July as the high-speed stream gradually subsides. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 18 - 21 July. Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels during 22 - 24 July due to recurrence. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels during 25 - 28 July.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2008 Jul 01 2024 UTC

# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2008 Jul 01
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2008 Jul 02 66 5 2
2008 Jul 03 66 8 3
2008 Jul 04 66 12 3
2008 Jul 05 66 10 3
2008 Jul 06 66 5 2
2008 Jul 07 66 5 2
2008 Jul 08 66 5 2
2008 Jul 09 66 5 2
2008 Jul 10 66 5 2
2008 Jul 11 66 10 3
2008 Jul 12 66 15 4
2008 Jul 13 66 15 4
2008 Jul 14 66 10 3
2008 Jul 15 66 10 3
2008 Jul 16 66 8 3
2008 Jul 17 66 10 3
2008 Jul 18 66 5 2
2008 Jul 19 66 5 2
2008 Jul 20 66 5 2
2008 Jul 21 66 5 2
2008 Jul 22 66 10 3
2008 Jul 23 66 10 3
2008 Jul 24 66 8 3
2008 Jul 25 66 5 2
2008 Jul 26 66 5 2
2008 Jul 27 66 5 2
2008 Jul 28 66 5 2
(NOAA)