Monday, April 15, 2019

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 Apr 15 0125 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 - 14 April 2019

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Region 2738 (N06, L=297, class/area Cho/300 on 12 Apr) produced numerous B-class flare activity and low frequency radio burst activity. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels thoughout the period.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels on 08-13 April due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Isolated active levels were observed early on 08-10 April. Quiet levels were observed on 14 April.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 April - 11 May 2019

Solar activity is expected to be at predominately very low levels throughout the outlook period. A slight chance for low level activity is possible through 24 April from Region 2738 and again from 04-11 May upon the return of old Region 2738 (N06, L=297).

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels from 15-18 April and again from 02-11 May due to CH HSS influence. Normal to moderate levels are expected for the remainder of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach unsettled levels on 24-25, 27-28 and 30 April and 01-02 and 05-07 May, all due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Quiet conditions are expected to be throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 Apr 15 0125 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2019-04-15
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2019 Apr 15      75           5          2
2019 Apr 16      75           5          2
2019 Apr 17      75           5          2
2019 Apr 18      75           5          2
2019 Apr 19      75           5          2
2019 Apr 20      75           5          2
2019 Apr 21      71           5          2
2019 Apr 22      71           5          2
2019 Apr 23      69           5          2
2019 Apr 24      68          10          3
2019 Apr 25      69           8          3
2019 Apr 26      69           5          2
2019 Apr 27      70          10          3
2019 Apr 28      69           8          3
2019 Apr 29      71           5          2
2019 Apr 30      71          10          3
2019 May 01      70          10          3
2019 May 02      72          10          3
2019 May 03      72           7          2
2019 May 04      77           5          2
2019 May 05      79          13          4
2019 May 06      79          10          3
2019 May 07      78          14          4
2019 May 08      79           7          2
2019 May 09      77           8          3
2019 May 10      78           8          3
2019 May 11      78           5          2
(NOAA)