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Monday, November 18, 2019
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 Nov 18 0115 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 11 - 17 November 2019
Solar activity was very low. Region 2752 (S23, L=286) was numbered on 13 Nov as a unipolar group, but quickly decayed to plage. The region remained an area of plage throughout the balance of the summary period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate levels on 11 and 13-17 Nov with normal levels observed on 12 Nov.
Geomagnetic field activity was predominately at quiet levels throughout the period under a mostly nominal wind regime. An isolated unsettled period was observed midday on 11 Nov and again
late on 17 Nov. The unsettled period late on 17 Nov was due to weak, negative polarity CH HSS influence.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 18 November - 14 December 2019
Solar activity is expected to be a very low levels throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 22 Nov through 03 Dec in response to CH HSS influence. Normal to moderate levels are expected for the remainder of the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm levels on 21-23 Nov, with active levels on 20 Nov, due to a recurrent, positive polarity CH HSS. Quiet to isolated unsettled
conditions are anticipated throughout the remainder of the outlook period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 Nov 18 0115 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2019-11-18
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2019 Nov 18 70 5 2
2019 Nov 19 70 8 3
2019 Nov 20 70 15 4
2019 Nov 21 70 20 5
2019 Nov 22 70 18 5
2019 Nov 23 70 10 3
2019 Nov 24 70 8 3
2019 Nov 25 70 8 3
2019 Nov 26 69 8 3
2019 Nov 27 69 5 2
2019 Nov 28 69 5 2
2019 Nov 29 69 5 2
2019 Nov 30 69 5 2
2019 Dec 01 69 5 2
2019 Dec 02 69 5 2
2019 Dec 03 69 5 2
2019 Dec 04 69 5 2
2019 Dec 05 69 5 2
2019 Dec 06 69 5 2
2019 Dec 07 69 5 2
2019 Dec 08 69 5 2
2019 Dec 09 70 5 2
2019 Dec 10 70 5 2
2019 Dec 11 70 5 2
2019 Dec 12 70 5 2
2019 Dec 13 70 6 2
2019 Dec 14 70 5 2
(NOAA)