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Monday, May 04, 2020
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 May 04 0250 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 27 April - 03 May 2020
Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Four new-cycle sunspot groups were numbered this period, the most prominent of which was Region 2760 (S07, L=307, class/area=Cro/20 on 30 Apr). No significant solar flare activity was observed.
A filament eruption from the northern hemisphere midday on 27 Apr resulted in a very slow-moving CME. Modeling of the event suggested the CME may arrive at Earth on 02-03 May. A solar wind disturbance commensurate with the passage of a weak, slow-moving transient was detected on 03 May, however, the source of this disturbance is inconclusive at the time of this writing.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels throughout the period.
Geomagnetic field activity was generally quiet and quiet to unsettled this period under a largely nominal solar wind environment. Isolated unsettled activity late on 03 May is thought to be associated with the passage of the 27 Apr CME.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 04 May - 30 May 2020
Solar activity is expected to be very quiet throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be generally quiet or quiet-to-unsettled throughout the outlook period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 May 04 0250 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2020-05-04
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2020 May 04 70 8 3
2020 May 05 70 10 3
2020 May 06 70 8 3
2020 May 07 70 5 2
2020 May 08 70 5 2
2020 May 09 70 5 2
2020 May 10 70 5 2
2020 May 11 70 5 2
2020 May 12 70 5 2
2020 May 13 70 5 2
2020 May 14 70 5 2
2020 May 15 70 5 2
2020 May 16 70 5 2
2020 May 17 70 5 2
2020 May 18 70 10 3
2020 May 19 70 8 3
2020 May 20 70 5 2
2020 May 21 70 5 2
2020 May 22 70 5 2
2020 May 23 70 5 2
2020 May 24 70 5 2
2020 May 25 70 5 2
2020 May 26 70 5 2
2020 May 27 70 5 2
2020 May 28 70 5 2
2020 May 29 70 5 2
2020 May 30 70 5 2
(NOAA)