:Issued: 2016 Sep 19 0130 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html #
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 12 - 18 September 2016
Solar activity was at very low levels throughout the period. Region 2585 (N08, L=222, class/area=Ekc/590 on 03 Sep) was the largest and most magnetically complex region on the disk this week, however, the region only produced low-level B-class flare activity before rotating out of view early in the period. Region 2592 (N14, L=027, class/area=Bxo/10 on 18 Sep) produced several low-level B-class flares in the latter half of the week, but was relatively simple throughout the period. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed this period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 12-14 Sep, moderate levels on 18 Sep, and were at normal levels on 15-17 Sep.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet on 13, 16-27 Sep and quiet to unsettled on 12, 14-15, and 18 Sep under a mostly nominal solar wind regime.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 19 September - 15 October 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a change for C-class flares throughout the period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach very high levels on 02-05 Oct with high levels expected on 21-25, 29 Sep-01 Oct, and 06-11 Oct following solar wind
enhancements associated with the influence of multiple coronal hole high speed streams. Electron flux is expected to be at normal or normal to moderate levels throughout the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels on 28-30 Sep and G1 (Minor) storm levels on 19-20 Sep and 01 Oct due to the anticipated influence of multiple,
recurrent coronal hole high speed streams. Active conditions are expected on 21 Sep and 02-05 Oct with generally quiet or quiet to unsettled conditions likely throughout the remainder of the period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Sep 19 0130 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2016-09-19
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Sep 19 85 18 5
2016 Sep 20 85 20 5
2016 Sep 21 85 12 4
2016 Sep 22 85 8 3
2016 Sep 23 85 5 2
2016 Sep 24 88 5 2
2016 Sep 25 90 5 2
2016 Sep 26 95 15 3
2016 Sep 27 100 10 3
2016 Sep 28 100 35 6
2016 Sep 29 100 35 6
2016 Sep 30 100 35 6
2016 Oct 01 95 30 5
2016 Oct 02 95 18 4
2016 Oct 03 90 15 4
2016 Oct 04 90 15 4
2016 Oct 05 90 15 4
2016 Oct 06 90 5 2
2016 Oct 07 85 5 2
2016 Oct 08 85 5 2
2016 Oct 09 85 5 2
2016 Oct 10 85 5 2
2016 Oct 11 85 5 2
2016 Oct 12 85 5 2
2016 Oct 13 85 5 2
2016 Oct 14 80 5 2
2016 Oct 15 80 5 2
(NOAA)
