Sunday, July 27, 2025

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2025 Jul 28 0129 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 21 - 27 July 2025



Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare was a C8.1/Sf at 24/0545 UTC from an unnumbered region located behind the west limb. Region 4149 (N17, L=247, class/area Eko/280 on 25 Jul) produced a C7.4/Sf at 25/0101 UTC. Several C-class flares were also observed from several other regions during the highlight period. No Earth-directed CME activity was observed. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels on 21-22 July and 24-27 July with a normal to moderate period on 23 July. The maximum flux was 13,000 pfu observed at 21/1700 UTC. 

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) storm levels on 22 and 23 July due to negative polarity CH HSS influence. Solar wind speeds were elevated to as high as 737 km/s late on 23 July. The remaining days were quiet to active levels due to weak negative polarity CH HSS influence. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 28 July - 23 August 2025

Solar activity is expected to be at mostly low levels with a chance for M-class (R1-R2, Minor to Moderate) flares for the outlook period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 28 July, 05-06 August and 10-23 August all due to recurrent CH HSS influences. Low to moderate levels are expected on the remaining days. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at active to G1 (Minor) storm levels on 04 August, 07-14 August and 18-22 August due to recurrent CH HSS effects. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected on the remaining days of the outlook period. 

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt

:
Issued: 2025 Jul 28 0129 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2025-07-28
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2025 Jul 28     145          10          3
2025 Jul 29     145           8          3
2025 Jul 30     140          10          3
2025 Jul 31     140          10          3
2025 Aug 01     135           8          3
2025 Aug 02     140           5          2
2025 Aug 03     150           5          2
2025 Aug 04     155          12          4
2025 Aug 05     155           8          3
2025 Aug 06     155           5          2
2025 Aug 07     155          20          5
2025 Aug 08     160          15          4
2025 Aug 09     160          25          5
2025 Aug 10     160          18          4
2025 Aug 11     160          25          5
2025 Aug 12     155          18          4
2025 Aug 13     160          20          5
2025 Aug 14     160          12          4
2025 Aug 15     155           8          3
2025 Aug 16     155           5          2
2025 Aug 17     150           5          2
2025 Aug 18     150          15          4
2025 Aug 19     150          25          5
2025 Aug 20     150          15          4
2025 Aug 21     145           8          3
2025 Aug 22     140          12          4
2025 Aug 23     135           5          2
(NOAA)