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Monday, July 23, 2018
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jul 23 0031 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 16 - 22 July 2018
Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Region 2716 (N16, L=199, class/area=Axx/10 on 21 Jul) was briefly the sole active region with sunspots, but was largely unproductive. No
Earth-directed CMEs were observed this period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate levels on 22 Jul with normal levels observed through the rest of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to unsettled on 16-17, 20-21 Jul with generally quiet conditions observed throughout the remainder of the period. The activity on 20-21 Jul was associated with the weak influence of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 23 July - 18 August 2018
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 23-31 Jul and moderate levels are expected on 01-11, and 18 Aug. Normal levels are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 24 Jul due to the influence of a negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream. Active conditions are expected on
23, 25 Jul and 17 Aug due to the influence of multiple, recurrent coronal hole high speed streams. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook
period.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jul 23 0031 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-07-23
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Jul 23 70 10 4
2018 Jul 24 70 25 5
2018 Jul 25 70 15 4
2018 Jul 26 70 10 3
2018 Jul 27 70 10 3
2018 Jul 28 70 8 3
2018 Jul 29 68 8 3
2018 Jul 30 68 5 2
2018 Jul 31 68 5 2
2018 Aug 01 68 5 2
2018 Aug 02 68 5 2
2018 Aug 03 68 5 2
2018 Aug 04 68 5 2
2018 Aug 05 68 5 2
2018 Aug 06 68 5 2
2018 Aug 07 68 5 2
2018 Aug 08 68 5 2
2018 Aug 09 68 5 2
2018 Aug 10 68 5 2
2018 Aug 11 70 5 2
2018 Aug 12 70 8 3
2018 Aug 13 70 8 3
2018 Aug 14 70 5 2
2018 Aug 15 70 5 2
2018 Aug 16 70 7 3
2018 Aug 17 70 12 4
2018 Aug 18 70 5 2
(NOAA)