Monday, September 14, 2020

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 Sep 14 0144 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact  www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 07 - 13 September 2020

Solar activity was very low throughout the reporting period. No spotted regions were observed on the visible disk and no Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was normal to high levels throughout the reporting period. GOES-16 peak flux reached 10,200 pfu at 07/1600 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to unsettled under a mostly nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 14 September - 10 October 2020

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels for the outlook
period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels on 14 - 25 Sep and at high levels, following CH HSS activity, from 26 Sep - 10 Oct.

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to range from quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels. G1 levels are likely to be on 27 September, and active levels are likely on 25-26 Sep and 28 Sep; unsettled levels are likely on 23-24 Sep and 29 Sep. All elevated levels of geomagnetic activity are in response to anticipated CH HSS influence. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to observe quiet conditions.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 Sep 14 0144 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2020-09-14
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2020 Sep 14      70           5          2
2020 Sep 15      70           5          2
2020 Sep 16      70           5          2
2020 Sep 17      70           5          2
2020 Sep 18      70           5          2
2020 Sep 19      70           5          2
2020 Sep 20      70           5          2
2020 Sep 21      70           5          2
2020 Sep 22      70           5          2
2020 Sep 23      70           8          3
2020 Sep 24      70          10          3
2020 Sep 25      70          15          4
2020 Sep 26      70          10          4
2020 Sep 27      70          25          5
2020 Sep 28      70          15          4
2020 Sep 29      70          10          3
2020 Sep 30      70           5          2
2020 Oct 01      70           5          2
2020 Oct 02      70           5          2
2020 Oct 03      70           5          2
2020 Oct 04      70           5          2
2020 Oct 05      70           5          2
2020 Oct 06      70           5          2
2020 Oct 07      70           5          2
2020 Oct 08      70           5          2
2020 Oct 09      70           5          2
2020 Oct 10      70           5          2
(NOAA)