Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2024 Dec 09 0103 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 02 - 08 December 2024
Solar activity reached high levels on 08 Dec when Region 3912 (S07, L=80, class/area=Dai/220 on 07 Dec) produced an impulsive X2.2/2b flare at 08/0906 UTC; the largest event of the period. Associated with the X2.2 flare was a Castelli-U radio burst, a 870 sfu Tenflare, and a 360 sfu Type-II radio sweep. Regions 3912 and 3917 (S07, L=09, class/area=Dac/210 on 08 Dec) produced the bulk of the M-class flares (R1-Minor events) observed over the course of the week. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected as a result of this week's activity.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels throughout the period.
Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels on 03 Dec due to the passage of a CME from 27 Nov. Quiet and quiet to unsettled levels were observed throughout the remainder of the period.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 09 December - 04 January 2025
Solar activity is likely to reach moderate levels. M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) are likely, with a slight chance for X-class flares (R3-Strong or greater), throughout much of the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit; barring significant flare activity.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal to moderate levels throughout the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet and unsettled over 09-14 Dec due to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Quiet and unsettled conditions are likely over 16-20 Dec, with active conditions possible on 19 Dec, due to negative polarity CH HSS
influences.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2024 Dec 09 0103 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2024-12-09
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2024 Dec 09 180 8 3
2024 Dec 10 175 8 3
2024 Dec 11 175 8 3
2024 Dec 12 180 8 3
2024 Dec 13 180 6 2
2024 Dec 14 180 8 3
2024 Dec 15 170 5 2
2024 Dec 16 170 8 3
2024 Dec 17 175 8 3
2024 Dec 18 175 8 3
2024 Dec 19 175 12 4
2024 Dec 20 175 8 3
2024 Dec 21 185 5 2
2024 Dec 22 190 5 2
2024 Dec 23 185 5 2
2024 Dec 24 185 5 2
2024 Dec 25 180 5 2
2024 Dec 26 180 5 2
2024 Dec 27 190 5 2
2024 Dec 28 185 5 2
2024 Dec 29 185 5 2
2024 Dec 30 180 5 2
2024 Dec 31 180 5 2
2025 Jan 01 180 5 2
2025 Jan 02 180 5 2
2025 Jan 03 175 5 2
2025 Jan 04 175 5 2
(NOAA)
