Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2025 Feb 17 0126 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 10 - 16 February 2025
Solar activity reached moderate levels on 10-11 and 13-14 Feb, with low levels of activity observed on 12 and 15-16 Feb. In total, six M1 flares (R1-Minor) were observed throughout the week from Regions 3981 (N07, L=341, class/area=Esi/190 on 10 Feb), 3990 (S10, L=191, class/area=Dki/310 on 14 Feb), and 3992 (S06, L=243, class/area=Dai/210 on 13 Feb).
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal to moderate levels on 10 Feb, with high levels observed on 11-16 Feb.
Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) levels on 10 and 14-15 Feb, and active levels on 11-13 and 16 Feb, due to negative polarity CH HSS influences.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 17 February - 15 March 2025
Solar activity is expected to range from low to moderate levels throughout the period. There is a varying chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) events and a slight chance for R3 or greater events.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit, barring significant flare activity.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is likely to reach high levels on 18-19 and 23 Feb, and 10-15 Mar. Normal to moderate levels are likely to prevail throughout the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) levels on 28 Feb, 09 and 12-14 Mar, with active levels likely on 17-18 Feb, and on 01 and 15 Mar, due primarily to CH HSS influences. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to prevail throughout the remainder of the period.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2025 Feb 17 0126 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2025-02-17
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2025 Feb 17 185 10 3
2025 Feb 18 185 10 3
2025 Feb 19 180 10 3
2025 Feb 20 180 5 2
2025 Feb 21 175 5 2
2025 Feb 22 170 5 2
2025 Feb 23 170 5 2
2025 Feb 24 190 5 2
2025 Feb 25 195 5 2
2025 Feb 26 200 5 2
2025 Feb 27 195 10 3
2025 Feb 28 195 25 5
2025 Mar 01 190 20 4
2025 Mar 02 195 5 2
2025 Mar 03 200 5 2
2025 Mar 04 205 5 2
2025 Mar 05 205 5 2
2025 Mar 06 200 5 2
2025 Mar 07 200 10 3
2025 Mar 08 200 10 3
2025 Mar 09 195 25 5
2025 Mar 10 195 15 3
2025 Mar 11 195 15 3
2025 Mar 12 195 25 5
2025 Mar 13 200 25 5
2025 Mar 14 200 30 5
2025 Mar 15 200 20 4
(NOAA)
