Wednesday, December 02, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins


Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Dec 01 1921 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
23 - 29 November 2009

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the period. The solar disk was spotless during the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal background levels during the period.

The geomagnetic field was initially quiet. An increase to quiet to unsettled with some isolated high latitude active periods (as well as a single minor storm period at high latitudes) occurred on 25-26 November. Activity returned to quiet levels for the remainder of the period from 27-29 November. Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft showed the onset of a co-rotating interaction region mid-day on 24 November, which was followed by the onset of a high
speed stream. The high speed stream continued through 25 November with peak velocities around 470 km/s, and slowly declined on 26 November. The high speed stream was associated with the extension of the southern polar coronal hole as observed in solar EUV imagery.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
02 - 28 December 2009

Solar activity is expected to be predominantly very low with just a slight chance for brief periods of low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal background levels through the period.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for 2-4 December. An increase to quiet to unsettled levels is expected on 5-6 December due to a recurrent high speed stream. Activity levels are expected to be predominantly quiet for 7-17 December, followed by another
increase to quiet to unsettled on 18 December, again due to a recurrent high speed stream. Quiet levels are expected to predominate for the remainder of the outlook period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 01 1921 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Dec 01
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Dec 02 70 5 2
2009 Dec 03 70 5 2
2009 Dec 04 70 5 2
2009 Dec 05 70 8 3
2009 Dec 06 70 8 3
2009 Dec 07 70 5 2
2009 Dec 08 72 5 2
2009 Dec 09 72 5 2
2009 Dec 10 72 5 2
2009 Dec 11 75 5 2
2009 Dec 12 75 5 2
2009 Dec 13 75 5 2
2009 Dec 14 75 5 2
2009 Dec 15 75 5 2
2009 Dec 16 75 5 2
2009 Dec 17 75 5 2
2009 Dec 18 75 8 3
2009 Dec 19 75 5 2
2009 Dec 20 75 5 2
2009 Dec 21 75 5 2
2009 Dec 22 75 5 2
2009 Dec 23 75 5 2
2009 Dec 24 74 5 2
2009 Dec 25 73 5 2
2009 Dec 26 72 5 2
2009 Dec 27 71 5 2
2009 Dec 28 70 5 2
(NOAA)