Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2009 Dec 15 1951 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#


Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
07 - 13 December 2009

Solar activity was very low for the first three days of the summary period. Low activity was observed on 10 December as new Region 1034 (N18,L=250,class/area Bxo/010 on 09 December) emerged on the disk and produced a C-flare at 10/1057UTC. This region continued as a small bi-polar group for the remainder of the period and showed signs of slow decay on 13 December.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at normal background levels during the period.

The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet throughout the summary period. Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft showed velocities ranged from 375 km/s, starting the period, to 255 km/s at the end of the period. Interplanetary magnetic field activity showed
intermittent periods of Bz fluctuations from +6 to -4 nT.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
16 December 2009 - 11 January 2010

Solar activity is expected to be predominantly very low with a slight chance for brief periods of low.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at normal background levels through the period.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the forecast period. The exception would be for a slight chance of quiet to unsettled levels possible for 18 December due to a recurrent high speed stream.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 15 1951 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact: www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html

# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2009 Dec 15
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2009 Dec 16 85 5 2
2009 Dec 17 85 5 2
2009 Dec 18 85 8 3
2009 Dec 19 85 5 2
2009 Dec 20 85 5 2
2009 Dec 21 85 5 2
2009 Dec 22 85 5 2
2009 Dec 23 83 5 2
2009 Dec 24 80 5 2
2009 Dec 25 80 5 2
2009 Dec 26 77 5 2
2009 Dec 27 77 5 2
2009 Dec 28 77 5 2
2009 Dec 29 77 5 2
2009 Dec 30 75 5 2
2009 Dec 31 75 5 2
2010 Jan 01 75 5 2
2010 Jan 02 72 5 2
2010 Jan 03 72 5 2
2010 Jan 04 75 5 2
2010 Jan 05 77 5 2
2010 Jan 06 77 5 2
2010 Jan 07 80 5 2
2010 Jan 08 80 5 2
2010 Jan 09 80 5 2
2010 Jan 10 85 5 2
2010 Jan 11 85 5 2
(NOAA)