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Monday, August 19, 2019
Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins
Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 Aug 19 0141 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 12 - 18 August 2019
Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was spotless with no Earth-directed CMEs observed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels on 12-17 Aug with moderate levels on 18 Aug. A maximum flux of 5,340 pfu was observed at 13/1725 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity was at predominately quiet levels with isolated unsettled intervals observed midday on 16 Aug and early on 18 Aug. Solar wind parameters reflected a nominal environment throughout the period.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 19 August - 14 September 2019
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels through the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be normal to moderate levels on 19 - 31 Aug. Flux readings are expected to increase to moderate to high levels on 01 -
14 Sep.due to recurrent CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach unsettled levels on 20 - 22 Aug, 26 - 28 Aug and 06 - 07 Sep due to recurrent CH HSS activity. Active to G1 (minor) storm conditions are likely on 01 - 02 Sep due to recurrent CH HSS activity.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 Aug 19 0141 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2019-08-19
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2019 Aug 19 68 5 2
2019 Aug 20 68 7 3
2019 Aug 21 68 7 3
2019 Aug 22 68 6 3
2019 Aug 23 68 5 2
2019 Aug 24 68 5 2
2019 Aug 25 68 5 2
2019 Aug 26 67 8 3
2019 Aug 27 67 8 3
2019 Aug 28 67 8 3
2019 Aug 29 67 5 2
2019 Aug 30 67 5 2
2019 Aug 31 67 5 2
2019 Sep 01 67 38 5
2019 Sep 02 67 14 4
2019 Sep 03 67 5 2
2019 Sep 04 67 5 2
2019 Sep 05 67 5 2
2019 Sep 06 67 8 3
2019 Sep 07 67 8 3
2019 Sep 08 67 5 2
2019 Sep 09 67 5 2
2019 Sep 10 67 5 2
2019 Sep 11 67 5 2
2019 Sep 12 68 5 2
2019 Sep 13 68 5 2
2019 Sep 14 68 5 2
(NOAA)