Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2025 Jan 13 0208 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 - 12 January 2025
Solar activity ranged from low to moderate levels. Region 3947 (N12, L=340, class/area=Ekc/370 on 08 Jan) produced the strongest event of the period, an M4.8 flare (R1-Minor) at 06/1624 UTC. Associated with the flare were Type II and Type IV radio sweeps. The CME produced originated from the W limb and no Earth-directed component was suspected. The only other region to produce an R1 event was 3737 (S17, L=083, class/area=Cso/130 on 02 Jan) with an M1.1 flare at 07/2305 UTC. No Earth-directed CMEs were identified in available coronagraph imagery.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 06-09 Jan following influence from a positive polarity CH HSS. The remainder of the summary period was at normal to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels. Active levels on 06 Jan and 08-10 Jan were associated with weak positive polarity CH HSS influence. The remainder of the summary period was at quiet to unsettled levels.
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 13 January - 08 February 2025
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) and slight chance for X-class events (R3/Strong), throughout the outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is likely to reached high levels on 02-05 Feb due to recurrent CH HSS influence. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at normal to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels. G1 conditions are likely on 31 Jan - 02 Feb due to the anticipated influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Active conditions are likely on 13 Jan and 03-05 Feb. The remainder of the outlook period is expected to range from quiet to unsettled levels.
Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2025 Jan 13 0208 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2025-01-13
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2025 Jan 13 150 6 2
2025 Jan 14 145 8 3
2025 Jan 15 145 10 3
2025 Jan 16 145 6 2
2025 Jan 17 150 8 3
2025 Jan 18 155 10 3
2025 Jan 19 155 8 3
2025 Jan 20 160 8 3
2025 Jan 21 160 5 2
2025 Jan 22 165 5 2
2025 Jan 23 165 5 2
2025 Jan 24 165 5 2
2025 Jan 25 170 5 2
2025 Jan 26 170 5 2
2025 Jan 27 175 5 2
2025 Jan 28 175 5 2
2025 Jan 29 170 5 2
2025 Jan 30 170 5 2
2025 Jan 31 165 20 5
2025 Feb 01 160 20 5
2025 Feb 02 155 20 5
2025 Feb 03 155 15 4
2025 Feb 04 150 12 4
2025 Feb 05 150 12 4
2025 Feb 06 150 10 3
2025 Feb 07 145 5 2
2025 Feb 08 145 5 2
(NOAA)
