Monday, December 22, 2025

Weekly Propagation Forecast Bulletins

 Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2025 Dec 22 0335 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 - 21 December 2025

Solar activity reached high levels on 19-21 Dec. There were three M1 flares from an unnumbered region beyond the east limb, Region 4315 (N19E58, L=35, class/area Bxo/10 on 20 Dec) and Region 4316 (S07E28, L=45, class/area Dsi/50 on 21 Dec. Low levels with only C-class activity was observed on 15-18 Dec. These two numbered regions also produced numerous C-class flares. No significant CME activity was observed on the Earth-facing disk. 

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 17-21 Dec due to coronal hole high speed stream influences. Normal to moderate levels were observed on 15-16 Dec. 

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) storm levels on 17 and 21 Dec due to CH HSS influences. Active levels were observed on 18 Dec. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed on 15-16, and 19-20 Dec. 

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 22 December - 17 January 2026

Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels for the outlook period. 

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to be at high levels on 25-29 Dec, 1-6 Jan, and 14-17 Jan. All due to recurrent CH HSS influences. 

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at G2 (Moderate) storm levels on 30 Dec; G1 (Minor) storm levels are expected on 22-23 Dec, 31 Dec, and 17 Jan, active levels are expected on 24-25 Dec, 01-02 Jan, 09-10 Jan, and 12-14 Jan. All due to recurrent CH HSS influences. 

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2025 Dec 22 0335 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC cweb ontact www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2025-12-22
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2025 Dec 22     130          28          5
2025 Dec 23     135          22          5
2025 Dec 24     140          20          4
2025 Dec 25     145          15          4
2025 Dec 26     150          10          3
2025 Dec 27     155           5          2
2025 Dec 28     155           5          2
2025 Dec 29     160           8          3
2025 Dec 30     170          30          6
2025 Dec 31     170          25          5
2026 Jan 01     165          10          4
2026 Jan 02     160          10          4
2026 Jan 03     160           8          3
2026 Jan 04     160           5          2
2026 Jan 05     160           5          2
2026 Jan 06     160           5          2
2026 Jan 07     140           5          2
2026 Jan 08     130           5          2
2026 Jan 09     125          15          4
2026 Jan 10     120          10          4
2026 Jan 11     120           5          2
2026 Jan 12     120          10          4
2026 Jan 13     120          15          4
2026 Jan 14     115          15          4
2026 Jan 15     120           5          2
2026 Jan 16     120           5          2
2026 Jan 17     125          20          5
(NOAA)